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# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

Market icon

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125 100.0%

125-139 100.0%

140-154 100.0%

155-169 100.0%

Polymarket

$283,379 Vol.

<125 100.0%

125-139 100.0%

140-154 100.0%

155-169 100.0%

Polymarket

$283,379 Vol.

<125

$79,378 Vol.

Yes

125-139

$25,267 Vol.

No

140-154

$37,347 Vol.

No

155-169

$33,680 Vol.

No

170-184

$27,636 Vol.

No

185-199

$26,451 Vol.

No

200+

$53,621 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Conservative Party controls less than 125 seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next UK General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the next UK General Election does not occur by January 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Conservative Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$283,379
Fecha de finalización
Jul 4, 2024
Mercado abierto
May 24, 2024, 1:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Conservative Party controls less than 125 seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next UK General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the next UK General Election does not occur by January 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Conservative Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<125" at 100%, followed by "125-139" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)" has generated $283.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 24, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)" is "<125" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "125-139" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.