Trader consensus heavily favors 17-17.5 million TSA checkpoint passengers for April 13-19 at 82%, driven by official daily screening volumes through April 16 totaling 9.64 million—April 13 (2.61 million), 14 (2.04 million, a midweek dip), 15 (2.25 million), and 16 (2.74 million). With three days remaining, bettors project typical volumes of 2.45-2.6 million daily amid steady spring travel demand winding down post-Easter, aligning with Metaculus' 17.1 million forecast and the prior week's 17.66 million total. Lower bins like 16.5-17 million (22%) reflect caution over potential weekday slowdowns or lingering effects from earlier TSA staffing strains, while higher outcomes see negligible support absent surge indicators. Final TSA reports expected soon will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado17-17.5m 93%
16.5-17m 18.9%
17.5-18m 10%
<16.5m 1.8%
$10,187 Vol.
$10,187 Vol.
19 abr 2026
<16.5m
2%
16.5-17m
19%
17-17.5m
82%
17.5-18m
20%
18-18.5m
1%
>18.5m
<1%
17-17.5m 93%
16.5-17m 18.9%
17.5-18m 10%
<16.5m 1.8%
$10,187 Vol.
$10,187 Vol.
19 abr 2026
<16.5m
$8,659 Vol.
2%
16.5-17m
$140 Vol.
19%
17-17.5m
$308 Vol.
82%
17.5-18m
$283 Vol.
20%
18-18.5m
$503 Vol.
1%
>18.5m
$294 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 13, 2026 and April 19, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus heavily favors 17-17.5 million TSA checkpoint passengers for April 13-19 at 82%, driven by official daily screening volumes through April 16 totaling 9.64 million—April 13 (2.61 million), 14 (2.04 million, a midweek dip), 15 (2.25 million), and 16 (2.74 million). With three days remaining, bettors project typical volumes of 2.45-2.6 million daily amid steady spring travel demand winding down post-Easter, aligning with Metaculus' 17.1 million forecast and the prior week's 17.66 million total. Lower bins like 16.5-17 million (22%) reflect caution over potential weekday slowdowns or lingering effects from earlier TSA staffing strains, while higher outcomes see negligible support absent surge indicators. Final TSA reports expected soon will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 13, 2026 and April 19, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 10, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Volumen
$10,187Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 13, 2026 and April 19, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus heavily favors 17-17.5 million TSA checkpoint passengers for April 13-19 at 82%, driven by official daily screening volumes through April 16 totaling 9.64 million—April 13 (2.61 million), 14 (2.04 million, a midweek dip), 15 (2.25 million), and 16 (2.74 million). With three days remaining, bettors project typical volumes of 2.45-2.6 million daily amid steady spring travel demand winding down post-Easter, aligning with Metaculus' 17.1 million forecast and the prior week's 17.66 million total. Lower bins like 16.5-17 million (22%) reflect caution over potential weekday slowdowns or lingering effects from earlier TSA staffing strains, while higher outcomes see negligible support absent surge indicators. Final TSA reports expected soon will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 13, 2026 and April 19, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volumen
$10,187Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 17-17.5 million TSA checkpoint passengers for April 13-19 at 82%, driven by official daily screening volumes through April 16 totaling 9.64 million—April 13 (2.61 million), 14 (2.04 million, a midweek dip), 15 (2.25 million), and 16 (2.74 million). With three days remaining, bettors project typical volumes of 2.45-2.6 million daily amid steady spring travel demand winding down post-Easter, aligning with Metaculus' 17.1 million forecast and the prior week's 17.66 million total. Lower bins like 16.5-17 million (22%) reflect caution over potential weekday slowdowns or lingering effects from earlier TSA staffing strains, while higher outcomes see negligible support absent surge indicators. Final TSA reports expected soon will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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