Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs "Nothing" for Rep. Ilhan Omar at 97.3% implied probability, reflecting her strong frontrunner status in the Minnesota 5th District Democratic primary on August 13. Recent polls, including a July Star Tribune survey showing Omar at 49% to challenger Don Samuels' 28%, underscore her lead built on superior fundraising—over $1 million raised versus Samuels' $300,000—and incumbency advantages from her narrow 2022 survival. No active House censure efforts persist despite prior antisemitism resolution debates. Realistic shifts could stem from low progressive turnout, a Samuels momentum surge, or unexpected ethics probe, but evidence favors status quo continuity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNunca pasa nada: Ilhan Omar
Nunca pasa nada: Ilhan Omar
Nada
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
Nada
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Ilhan Omar town hall attack confirmed to be staged
- Ilhan Omar resigns
- Ilhan Omar federally charged
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_IO.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Ilhan Omar town hall attack confirmed to be staged
- Ilhan Omar resigns
- Ilhan Omar federally charged
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_IO.pdfThis market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Ilhan Omar town hall attack confirmed to be staged
- Ilhan Omar resigns
- Ilhan Omar federally charged
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_IO.pdf
- Ilhan Omar town hall attack confirmed to be staged
- Ilhan Omar resigns
- Ilhan Omar federally charged
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_IO.pdf
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Ilhan Omar town hall attack confirmed to be staged
- Ilhan Omar resigns
- Ilhan Omar federally charged
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_IO.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Ilhan Omar town hall attack confirmed to be staged
- Ilhan Omar resigns
- Ilhan Omar federally charged
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_IO.pdfThis market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Ilhan Omar town hall attack confirmed to be staged
- Ilhan Omar resigns
- Ilhan Omar federally charged
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_IO.pdf
- Ilhan Omar town hall attack confirmed to be staged
- Ilhan Omar resigns
- Ilhan Omar federally charged
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_IO.pdf
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs "Nothing" for Rep. Ilhan Omar at 97.3% implied probability, reflecting her strong frontrunner status in the Minnesota 5th District Democratic primary on August 13. Recent polls, including a July Star Tribune survey showing Omar at 49% to challenger Don Samuels' 28%, underscore her lead built on superior fundraising—over $1 million raised versus Samuels' $300,000—and incumbency advantages from her narrow 2022 survival. No active House censure efforts persist despite prior antisemitism resolution debates. Realistic shifts could stem from low progressive turnout, a Samuels momentum surge, or unexpected ethics probe, but evidence favors status quo continuity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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