Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 94.8% implied probability for MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, driven by Ocean Infinity's recent seabed survey concluding January 23 without confirmed findings after scanning 7,571 square kilometers in the southern Indian Ocean—their "no find, no fee" effort under a 2025 Malaysian deal. This latest letdown, announced March 8, echoes over a decade of fruitless hunts despite debris clues and advanced robotics, underscoring the vast search area's challenges and data uncertainties. With just three months left and families pressing for contract extensions amid no new operations greenlit, an upset would require swift government approval for resumed scans plus a breakthrough in precise location data from unverified leads like recent barnacle analysis on drifters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Los restos submarinos del MH370 encontrados antes del 30 de junio de 2026?
¿Los restos submarinos del MH370 encontrados antes del 30 de junio de 2026?
Sí
$86,994 Vol.
$86,994 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Sí
$86,994 Vol.
$86,994 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 94.8% implied probability for MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, driven by Ocean Infinity's recent seabed survey concluding January 23 without confirmed findings after scanning 7,571 square kilometers in the southern Indian Ocean—their "no find, no fee" effort under a 2025 Malaysian deal. This latest letdown, announced March 8, echoes over a decade of fruitless hunts despite debris clues and advanced robotics, underscoring the vast search area's challenges and data uncertainties. With just three months left and families pressing for contract extensions amid no new operations greenlit, an upset would require swift government approval for resumed scans plus a breakthrough in precise location data from unverified leads like recent barnacle analysis on drifters.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
Volumen
$86,994Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 94.8% implied probability for MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, driven by Ocean Infinity's recent seabed survey concluding January 23 without confirmed findings after scanning 7,571 square kilometers in the southern Indian Ocean—their "no find, no fee" effort under a 2025 Malaysian deal. This latest letdown, announced March 8, echoes over a decade of fruitless hunts despite debris clues and advanced robotics, underscoring the vast search area's challenges and data uncertainties. With just three months left and families pressing for contract extensions amid no new operations greenlit, an upset would require swift government approval for resumed scans plus a breakthrough in precise location data from unverified leads like recent barnacle analysis on drifters.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$86,994Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 94.8% implied probability for MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, driven by Ocean Infinity's recent seabed survey concluding January 23 without confirmed findings after scanning 7,571 square kilometers in the southern Indian Ocean—their "no find, no fee" effort under a 2025 Malaysian deal. This latest letdown, announced March 8, echoes over a decade of fruitless hunts despite debris clues and advanced robotics, underscoring the vast search area's challenges and data uncertainties. With just three months left and families pressing for contract extensions amid no new operations greenlit, an upset would require swift government approval for resumed scans plus a breakthrough in precise location data from unverified leads like recent barnacle analysis on drifters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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