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Política·Tweet Markets

¿Khamenei # publica del 17 al 24 de abril de 2026?

Market icon
Política·Tweet Markets

¿Khamenei # publica del 17 al 24 de abril de 2026?

abr 21

abr 24

abr 28

abr 21

abr 24

abr 28

TWEET COUNT
12
Tiempo restante
TWEETS
12
Tiempo restante

25-29 37.9%

50-54 5.1%

20-24 5.0%

30-34 4.5%

Polymarket
NUEVO

25-29 37.9%

50-54 5.1%

20-24 5.0%

30-34 4.5%

Polymarket
NUEVO

10-14

$283 Vol.

35%

15-19

$227 Vol.

45%

20-24

$560 Vol.

30%

25-29

$383 Vol.

38%

30-34

$387 Vol.

5%

35-39

$235 Vol.

3%

40-44

$351 Vol.

2%

45-49

$254 Vol.

3%

50-54

$328 Vol.

5%

55-59

$250 Vol.

3%

60+

$417 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the @khamenei_ir account's weekly X posts remains tightly contested between 15-19 (44%) and 25-29 (38%), driven by historical variability in output—last week's April 7-14 period resolved at 15-19 posts per verified tally, contrasting with just four posts the prior week of March 27-April 3. No main feed posts, quotes, or reposts have appeared since April 13, leaving the April 17-24 window (starting 12:00 PM ET) at zero through April 19 amid the account's archival sharing of statements from the late Imam Sayyid Ali Khamenei. This lull keeps lower bins competitive, while potential escalation in US-Israel-Iran tensions or regime commemorations could spur a posting surge, tipping odds higher; conversely, sustained quiet during the post-leadership transition favors moderation.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$6,251
Fecha de finalización
24 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the @khamenei_ir account's weekly X posts remains tightly contested between 15-19 (44%) and 25-29 (38%), driven by historical variability in output—last week's April 7-14 period resolved at 15-19 posts per verified tally, contrasting with just four posts the prior week of March 27-April 3. No main feed posts, quotes, or reposts have appeared since April 13, leaving the April 17-24 window (starting 12:00 PM ET) at zero through April 19 amid the account's archival sharing of statements from the late Imam Sayyid Ali Khamenei. This lull keeps lower bins competitive, while potential escalation in US-Israel-Iran tensions or regime commemorations could spur a posting surge, tipping odds higher; conversely, sustained quiet during the post-leadership transition favors moderation.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$6,251
Fecha de finalización
24 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Khamenei # publica del 17 al 24 de abril de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "15-19" con 45%, seguido de "25-29" con 38%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Khamenei # publica del 17 al 24 de abril de 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 14, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Khamenei # publica del 17 al 24 de abril de 2026?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Khamenei # publica del 17 al 24 de abril de 2026?" es "15-19" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "25-29" con 38%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Khamenei # publica del 17 al 24 de abril de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.