Israeli forces deepened their ground offensive in southern Lebanon on March 30, with Prime Minister Netanyahu ordering advances toward the Litani River amid intensified Hezbollah rocket barrages and counterattacks, including strikes causing IDF casualties such as a soldier killed on March 29. This escalation follows early March Hezbollah missile launches from Lebanon prompting Israeli airstrikes on Beirut and over 500 targets, widening the Iran-linked conflict. UN demands for halting operations underscore diplomatic pressures, while ongoing artillery exchanges and evacuations signal sustained military action risks. Traders eye potential ceasefire talks, US coordination, or further retaliations as key catalysts ahead of any resolution timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoIsrael military action against Lebanon on...?
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
NUEVO
30 abr 2026
April 1
96%
April 2
95%
April 3
94%
April 4
90%
April 5
87%
April 6
87%
April 7
89%
April 8
86%
April 9
83%
April 10
84%
$5,603 Vol.
April 1
$398 Vol.
96%
April 2
$1,648 Vol.
95%
April 3
$10 Vol.
94%
April 4
$296 Vol.
90%
April 5
$0 Vol.
87%
April 6
$182 Vol.
87%
April 7
$181 Vol.
89%
April 8
$2,815 Vol.
86%
April 9
$62 Vol.
83%
April 10
$10 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Lebanese territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces deepened their ground offensive in southern Lebanon on March 30, with Prime Minister Netanyahu ordering advances toward the Litani River amid intensified Hezbollah rocket barrages and counterattacks, including strikes causing IDF casualties such as a soldier killed on March 29. This escalation follows early March Hezbollah missile launches from Lebanon prompting Israeli airstrikes on Beirut and over 500 targets, widening the Iran-linked conflict. UN demands for halting operations underscore diplomatic pressures, while ongoing artillery exchanges and evacuations signal sustained military action risks. Traders eye potential ceasefire talks, US coordination, or further retaliations as key catalysts ahead of any resolution timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Lebanese territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Lebanese territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Volumen
$5,603Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Lebanese territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces deepened their ground offensive in southern Lebanon on March 30, with Prime Minister Netanyahu ordering advances toward the Litani River amid intensified Hezbollah rocket barrages and counterattacks, including strikes causing IDF casualties such as a soldier killed on March 29. This escalation follows early March Hezbollah missile launches from Lebanon prompting Israeli airstrikes on Beirut and over 500 targets, widening the Iran-linked conflict. UN demands for halting operations underscore diplomatic pressures, while ongoing artillery exchanges and evacuations signal sustained military action risks. Traders eye potential ceasefire talks, US coordination, or further retaliations as key catalysts ahead of any resolution timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Lebanese territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Lebanese territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$5,603Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces deepened their ground offensive in southern Lebanon on March 30, with Prime Minister Netanyahu ordering advances toward the Litani River amid intensified Hezbollah rocket barrages and counterattacks, including strikes causing IDF casualties such as a soldier killed on March 29. This escalation follows early March Hezbollah missile launches from Lebanon prompting Israeli airstrikes on Beirut and over 500 targets, widening the Iran-linked conflict. UN demands for halting operations underscore diplomatic pressures, while ongoing artillery exchanges and evacuations signal sustained military action risks. Traders eye potential ceasefire talks, US coordination, or further retaliations as key catalysts ahead of any resolution timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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