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Geopolítica·Huelgas

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Huelgas

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

$21,223 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$21,223 Vol.

Polymarket

15 de abril

$13,265 Vol.

10%

April 30

$7,958 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli airstrikes targeted Iran's Fordow uranium enrichment facility—deeply buried near Qom—and the Arak heavy water reactor on March 28, 2026, as confirmed by the Israeli military spokesperson, marking a fresh escalation in the US-Israel campaign launched February 28 against Tehran's nuclear infrastructure and missile sites. Prior evacuation warnings within 16 km of Fordow signaled imminent bunker-buster attacks, following Iran's reported refusal to scrap enrichment amid failed 2025-2026 negotiations. Tehran claimed additional nuclear site hits after Israeli threats to expand operations, prompting retaliatory drone strikes on Israel and US bases. Ongoing hostilities, potential diplomatic breakthroughs, or IAEA inspections could sway further developments in this volatile proxy conflict.

Israeli airstrikes targeted Iran's Fordow uranium enrichment facility—deeply buried near Qom—and the Arak heavy water reactor on March 28, 2026, as confirmed by the Israeli military spokesperson, marking a fresh escalation in the US-Israel campaign launched February 28 against Tehran's nuclear infrastructure and missile sites. Prior evacuation warnings within 16 km of Fordow signaled imminent bunker-buster attacks, following Iran's reported refusal to scrap enrichment amid failed 2025-2026 negotiations. Tehran claimed additional nuclear site hits after Israeli threats to expand operations, prompting retaliatory drone strikes on Israel and US bases. Ongoing hostilities, potential diplomatic breakthroughs, or IAEA inspections could sway further developments in this volatile proxy conflict.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli airstrikes targeted Iran's Fordow uranium enrichment facility—deeply buried near Qom—and the Arak heavy water reactor on March 28, 2026, as confirmed by the Israeli military spokesperson, marking a fresh escalation in the US-Israel campaign launched February 28 against Tehran's nuclear infrastructure and missile sites. Prior evacuation warnings within 16 km of Fordow signaled imminent bunker-buster attacks, following Iran's reported refusal to scrap enrichment amid failed 2025-2026 negotiations. Tehran claimed additional nuclear site hits after Israeli threats to expand operations, prompting retaliatory drone strikes on Israel and US bases. Ongoing hostilities, potential diplomatic breakthroughs, or IAEA inspections could sway further developments in this volatile proxy conflict.

Israeli airstrikes targeted Iran's Fordow uranium enrichment facility—deeply buried near Qom—and the Arak heavy water reactor on March 28, 2026, as confirmed by the Israeli military spokesperson, marking a fresh escalation in the US-Israel campaign launched February 28 against Tehran's nuclear infrastructure and missile sites. Prior evacuation warnings within 16 km of Fordow signaled imminent bunker-buster attacks, following Iran's reported refusal to scrap enrichment amid failed 2025-2026 negotiations. Tehran claimed additional nuclear site hits after Israeli threats to expand operations, prompting retaliatory drone strikes on Israel and US bases. Ongoing hostilities, potential diplomatic breakthroughs, or IAEA inspections could sway further developments in this volatile proxy conflict.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

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Preguntas frecuentes

"Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "April 30" con 19%, seguido de "15 de abril" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 19¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?" ha generado $21.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?" es "April 30" con 19%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "15 de abril" con 10%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.