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Política·Primarias

IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Market icon
Política·Primarias

IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Joe Mitchell 94.3%

Charlie McClintock 3.3%

Shannon Lundgren <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Joe Mitchell 94.3%

Charlie McClintock 3.3%

Shannon Lundgren <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Joe Mitchell

$4,795 Vol.

94%

Charlie McClintock

$1,817 Vol.

3%

Shannon Lundgren

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Mitchell commands overwhelming trader consensus at 94.4% implied probability to win Iowa's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on June 2, driven by his recent record-breaking Q1 fundraising haul exceeding $600,000—announced April 1—for a non-incumbent GOP campaign, bolstering his organizational edge. This builds on President Trump's early February endorsement and selection to the NRCC's "MAGA Majority" program in mid-March, signaling strong national Republican backing in the open-seat race vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid. State Sen. Charlie McClintock trails without comparable momentum, while ex-candidate Shannon Lundgren's January withdrawal narrowed the field. Upsets remain possible via scandals, a late McClintock surge from local endorsements, or unreleased internal polling shifts before absentee voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$6,613
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Mitchell commands overwhelming trader consensus at 94.4% implied probability to win Iowa's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on June 2, driven by his recent record-breaking Q1 fundraising haul exceeding $600,000—announced April 1—for a non-incumbent GOP campaign, bolstering his organizational edge. This builds on President Trump's early February endorsement and selection to the NRCC's "MAGA Majority" program in mid-March, signaling strong national Republican backing in the open-seat race vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid. State Sen. Charlie McClintock trails without comparable momentum, while ex-candidate Shannon Lundgren's January withdrawal narrowed the field. Upsets remain possible via scandals, a late McClintock surge from local endorsements, or unreleased internal polling shifts before absentee voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$6,613
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Joe Mitchell" con 94%, seguido de "Charlie McClintock" con 3%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 94¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 18, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Joe Mitchell" con 94%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Charlie McClintock" con 3%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.