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Elecciones·Primarias

SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

icon for SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Elecciones·Primarias

SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Mark Smith 69%

Alex Pelbath 13%

Sam McCown 5.1%

Jay Byars 4.8%

Polymarket

$14,420 Vol.

Mark Smith 69%

Alex Pelbath 13%

Sam McCown 5.1%

Jay Byars 4.8%

Polymarket

$14,420 Vol.

Mark Smith

$5,657 Vol.

69%

Alex Pelbath

$2,492 Vol.

14%

Sam McCown

$2,026 Vol.

5%

Jay Byars

$681 Vol.

5%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

$643 Vol.

3%

Jack Ellison

$945 Vol.

3%

Dan Brown

$641 Vol.

1%

Logan Cunningham

$733 Vol.

1%

Justin Myers

$603 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open South Carolina 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9—following Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid—state House Majority Leader Mark Smith commands trader consensus at 69% implied probability, propelled by his April 17 GOP forum straw poll win (34.1%) over retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath (29.5%) among local Republican voters. Smith's legislative experience, grassroots momentum, and $727,000 Q1 fundraising (second-highest cash on hand at $548,000) position him as frontrunner in the crowded nine-candidate field, despite physician Sam McCown's leading $1.5 million haul that traders appear to discount amid uncertain voter appeal. Pelbath holds 19% on military credentials, with others trailing; no majority triggers a June 23 runoff, and no public polls have emerged ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$14,420
Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open South Carolina 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9—following Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid—state House Majority Leader Mark Smith commands trader consensus at 69% implied probability, propelled by his April 17 GOP forum straw poll win (34.1%) over retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath (29.5%) among local Republican voters. Smith's legislative experience, grassroots momentum, and $727,000 Q1 fundraising (second-highest cash on hand at $548,000) position him as frontrunner in the crowded nine-candidate field, despite physician Sam McCown's leading $1.5 million haul that traders appear to discount amid uncertain voter appeal. Pelbath holds 19% on military credentials, with others trailing; no majority triggers a June 23 runoff, and no public polls have emerged ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$14,420
Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mark Smith" con 69%, seguido de "Alex Pelbath" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 69¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" ha generado $14.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Mark Smith" con 69%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alex Pelbath" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.