Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 19°C in Tel Aviv on March 25, with an 88.5% implied probability, driven by converging forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime maximum of 19°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds. This aligns with recent model runs showing a cooling trend from earlier 20-21°C projections, influenced by a lingering Mediterranean low-pressure influence moderating seasonal norms—historical March 25 highs average around 20°C but vary with synoptic patterns. Lower odds for 20°C (7%) reflect minor ensemble spread, while extremes remain negligible; traders eye tomorrow's IMS update for potential shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 25 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 25 de marzo?
19°C 96%
20°C 4.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$118,544 Vol.
$118,544 Vol.
15°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
96%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
19°C 96%
20°C 4.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$118,544 Vol.
$118,544 Vol.
15°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
96%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 19°C in Tel Aviv on March 25, with an 88.5% implied probability, driven by converging forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime maximum of 19°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds. This aligns with recent model runs showing a cooling trend from earlier 20-21°C projections, influenced by a lingering Mediterranean low-pressure influence moderating seasonal norms—historical March 25 highs average around 20°C but vary with synoptic patterns. Lower odds for 20°C (7%) reflect minor ensemble spread, while extremes remain negligible; traders eye tomorrow's IMS update for potential shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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