Observed peak temperatures at Shanghai's official monitoring stations, including Xujiahui and Hongqiao Airport, reached 22°C around 2:00 p.m. local time on March 30, driving trader consensus to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome per Polymarket odds. Hourly data from Pudong International Airport (ZSPD) and Hongqiao confirm highs of 72–73°F (22–22.8°C) under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and residual morning mist transitioning to clearer conditions, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting 20–22°C amid persistent warm air advection over eastern China—well above the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C. With the diurnal cycle's solar maximum passed and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an unprecedented late-afternoon surge from unforeseen clear skies or a post-hoc revision to auxiliary station data exceeding 23°C, scenarios precluded by current declining trends and historical measurement stability. Final China Meteorological Administration tallies expected within 24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$305,764 Vol.
$305,764 Vol.
30 mar 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$305,764 Vol.
$305,764 Vol.
30 mar 2026
13°C or below
$2,225 Vol.
No
14°C
$4,230 Vol.
No
15°C
$23,220 Vol.
No
16°C
$31,426 Vol.
No
17°C
$24,390 Vol.
No
18°C
$14,387 Vol.
No
19°C
$29,153 Vol.
No
20°C
$22,681 Vol.
No
21°C
$29,655 Vol.
No
22°C
$45,343 Vol.
Yes
23°C or higher
$79,053 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed peak temperatures at Shanghai's official monitoring stations, including Xujiahui and Hongqiao Airport, reached 22°C around 2:00 p.m. local time on March 30, driving trader consensus to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome per Polymarket odds. Hourly data from Pudong International Airport (ZSPD) and Hongqiao confirm highs of 72–73°F (22–22.8°C) under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and residual morning mist transitioning to clearer conditions, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting 20–22°C amid persistent warm air advection over eastern China—well above the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C. With the diurnal cycle's solar maximum passed and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an unprecedented late-afternoon surge from unforeseen clear skies or a post-hoc revision to auxiliary station data exceeding 23°C, scenarios precluded by current declining trends and historical measurement stability. Final China Meteorological Administration tallies expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Volumen
$305,764Fecha de finalización
30 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed peak temperatures at Shanghai's official monitoring stations, including Xujiahui and Hongqiao Airport, reached 22°C around 2:00 p.m. local time on March 30, driving trader consensus to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome per Polymarket odds. Hourly data from Pudong International Airport (ZSPD) and Hongqiao confirm highs of 72–73°F (22–22.8°C) under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and residual morning mist transitioning to clearer conditions, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting 20–22°C amid persistent warm air advection over eastern China—well above the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C. With the diurnal cycle's solar maximum passed and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an unprecedented late-afternoon surge from unforeseen clear skies or a post-hoc revision to auxiliary station data exceeding 23°C, scenarios precluded by current declining trends and historical measurement stability. Final China Meteorological Administration tallies expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$305,764Fecha de finalización
30 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Observed peak temperatures at Shanghai's official monitoring stations, including Xujiahui and Hongqiao Airport, reached 22°C around 2:00 p.m. local time on March 30, driving trader consensus to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome per Polymarket odds. Hourly data from Pudong International Airport (ZSPD) and Hongqiao confirm highs of 72–73°F (22–22.8°C) under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and residual morning mist transitioning to clearer conditions, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting 20–22°C amid persistent warm air advection over eastern China—well above the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C. With the diurnal cycle's solar maximum passed and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an unprecedented late-afternoon surge from unforeseen clear skies or a post-hoc revision to auxiliary station data exceeding 23°C, scenarios precluded by current declining trends and historical measurement stability. Final China Meteorological Administration tallies expected within 24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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