Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Chongqing at 84.5% implied probability, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration projecting a daily maximum in that range amid stable early spring conditions in the Yangtze River basin. Following persistent cloudy and rainy weather through late March—with regional highs around 18°C—upper-level high pressure is now steering mild southerly flows, supporting model ensemble agreement with low uncertainty (±1-2°C spread). This aligns with climatological normals of 20-22°C for April 1, based on decades of observational data. Hourly surface measurements and afternoon forecast updates from CMA will provide final confirmation as the day progresses, though traders anticipate minimal shifts given the settled pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 1?
21°C 95.8%
22°C 3.6%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$109,035 Vol.
$109,035 Vol.
20°C
<1%
21°C
96%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 95.8%
22°C 3.6%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$109,035 Vol.
$109,035 Vol.
20°C
<1%
21°C
96%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Chongqing at 84.5% implied probability, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration projecting a daily maximum in that range amid stable early spring conditions in the Yangtze River basin. Following persistent cloudy and rainy weather through late March—with regional highs around 18°C—upper-level high pressure is now steering mild southerly flows, supporting model ensemble agreement with low uncertainty (±1-2°C spread). This aligns with climatological normals of 20-22°C for April 1, based on decades of observational data. Hourly surface measurements and afternoon forecast updates from CMA will provide final confirmation as the day progresses, though traders anticipate minimal shifts given the settled pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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