Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C (99.8% implied probability) for Beijing's highest temperature today, April 1, driven by the latest short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS, which consistently project a daytime high of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Current morning observations align with this, starting from lows near 4–6°C amid typical early-spring continental conditions, where average April highs hover around 17–20°C based on historical climatology at Beijing's official stations. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 20°C or a cold front arrival capping at 18°C, though model agreement and stable upper-air patterns make shifts unlikely; monitor hourly updates from CMA for confirmation as the afternoon peak nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
19°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
18°C <1%
$125,960 Vol.
$125,960 Vol.
1 abr 2026
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
18°C <1%
$125,960 Vol.
$125,960 Vol.
1 abr 2026
18°C
$14,684 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$16,854 Vol.
100%
20°C
$14,132 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$11,477 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$10,699 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C (99.8% implied probability) for Beijing's highest temperature today, April 1, driven by the latest short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS, which consistently project a daytime high of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Current morning observations align with this, starting from lows near 4–6°C amid typical early-spring continental conditions, where average April highs hover around 17–20°C based on historical climatology at Beijing's official stations. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 20°C or a cold front arrival capping at 18°C, though model agreement and stable upper-air patterns make shifts unlikely; monitor hourly updates from CMA for confirmation as the afternoon peak nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Volumen
$125,960Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C (99.8% implied probability) for Beijing's highest temperature today, April 1, driven by the latest short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS, which consistently project a daytime high of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Current morning observations align with this, starting from lows near 4–6°C amid typical early-spring continental conditions, where average April highs hover around 17–20°C based on historical climatology at Beijing's official stations. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 20°C or a cold front arrival capping at 18°C, though model agreement and stable upper-air patterns make shifts unlikely; monitor hourly updates from CMA for confirmation as the afternoon peak nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$125,960Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C (99.8% implied probability) for Beijing's highest temperature today, April 1, driven by the latest short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS, which consistently project a daytime high of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Current morning observations align with this, starting from lows near 4–6°C amid typical early-spring continental conditions, where average April highs hover around 17–20°C based on historical climatology at Beijing's official stations. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 20°C or a cold front arrival capping at 18°C, though model agreement and stable upper-air patterns make shifts unlikely; monitor hourly updates from CMA for confirmation as the afternoon peak nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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