The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast, issued at 8:15 a.m. on April 1, projects Beijing's daytime high at 17°C amid cloudy conditions and light winds, aligning with early April climatological averages around 17°C but tempered by overcast skies. However, Polymarket's trader consensus—61% implied probability for 19°C, 24.5% for 18°C—reflects optimism from global ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which show a 15–20°C spread driven by persistent anticyclonic patterns and a potential late-day warm front boosting surface heating. Recent March 31 observations hovered near 10°C under overcast skies, but spring's above-normal trends (recent highs to 25°C) sustain uncertainty; monitor hourly updates from Beijing Capital International Airport for resolution-defining measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
19°C 48%
18°C 45%
20°C 2.5%
21°C 1.0%
$91,851 Vol.
$91,851 Vol.
1 abr 2026
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
45%
19°C
48%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 48%
18°C 45%
20°C 2.5%
21°C 1.0%
$91,851 Vol.
$91,851 Vol.
1 abr 2026
13°C
$7,305 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$7,402 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$9,940 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$16,851 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$13,158 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$6,335 Vol.
45%
19°C
$7,775 Vol.
48%
20°C
$7,683 Vol.
2%
21°C
$4,875 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$6,850 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast, issued at 8:15 a.m. on April 1, projects Beijing's daytime high at 17°C amid cloudy conditions and light winds, aligning with early April climatological averages around 17°C but tempered by overcast skies. However, Polymarket's trader consensus—61% implied probability for 19°C, 24.5% for 18°C—reflects optimism from global ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which show a 15–20°C spread driven by persistent anticyclonic patterns and a potential late-day warm front boosting surface heating. Recent March 31 observations hovered near 10°C under overcast skies, but spring's above-normal trends (recent highs to 25°C) sustain uncertainty; monitor hourly updates from Beijing Capital International Airport for resolution-defining measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Volumen
$91,851Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast, issued at 8:15 a.m. on April 1, projects Beijing's daytime high at 17°C amid cloudy conditions and light winds, aligning with early April climatological averages around 17°C but tempered by overcast skies. However, Polymarket's trader consensus—61% implied probability for 19°C, 24.5% for 18°C—reflects optimism from global ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which show a 15–20°C spread driven by persistent anticyclonic patterns and a potential late-day warm front boosting surface heating. Recent March 31 observations hovered near 10°C under overcast skies, but spring's above-normal trends (recent highs to 25°C) sustain uncertainty; monitor hourly updates from Beijing Capital International Airport for resolution-defining measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$91,851Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast, issued at 8:15 a.m. on April 1, projects Beijing's daytime high at 17°C amid cloudy conditions and light winds, aligning with early April climatological averages around 17°C but tempered by overcast skies. However, Polymarket's trader consensus—61% implied probability for 19°C, 24.5% for 18°C—reflects optimism from global ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which show a 15–20°C spread driven by persistent anticyclonic patterns and a potential late-day warm front boosting surface heating. Recent March 31 observations hovered near 10°C under overcast skies, but spring's above-normal trends (recent highs to 25°C) sustain uncertainty; monitor hourly updates from Beijing Capital International Airport for resolution-defining measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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