The latest short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and ECMWF ensembles project Beijing's highest temperature on April 1 peaking around 18-19°C in the mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies with light southerly breezes, driving strong trader consensus at 47% implied probability for 18°C and 31.5% for 19°C. This aligns with early April climatological normals of 18-19°C highs amid spring warming, following March 31's observed maximum of 17.4°C and an overnight cooldown to 4°C that tempers extremes. Recent late-March warmth under high-pressure ridges has given way to more typical variability, with model ensembles showing ±1-2°C spreads from cloud cover or wind shifts. Hourly CMA guidance and airport observations will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
18°C 48%
19°C 31%
17°C 14%
20°C 2.7%
$68,678 Vol.
$68,678 Vol.
1 abr 2026
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
14%
18°C
48%
19°C
31%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 48%
19°C 31%
17°C 14%
20°C 2.7%
$68,678 Vol.
$68,678 Vol.
1 abr 2026
13°C
$7,305 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$6,943 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$9,349 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$10,610 Vol.
1%
17°C
$4,578 Vol.
14%
18°C
$3,498 Vol.
48%
19°C
$6,417 Vol.
31%
20°C
$5,718 Vol.
3%
21°C
$4,549 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$6,614 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and ECMWF ensembles project Beijing's highest temperature on April 1 peaking around 18-19°C in the mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies with light southerly breezes, driving strong trader consensus at 47% implied probability for 18°C and 31.5% for 19°C. This aligns with early April climatological normals of 18-19°C highs amid spring warming, following March 31's observed maximum of 17.4°C and an overnight cooldown to 4°C that tempers extremes. Recent late-March warmth under high-pressure ridges has given way to more typical variability, with model ensembles showing ±1-2°C spreads from cloud cover or wind shifts. Hourly CMA guidance and airport observations will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Volumen
$68,678Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and ECMWF ensembles project Beijing's highest temperature on April 1 peaking around 18-19°C in the mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies with light southerly breezes, driving strong trader consensus at 47% implied probability for 18°C and 31.5% for 19°C. This aligns with early April climatological normals of 18-19°C highs amid spring warming, following March 31's observed maximum of 17.4°C and an overnight cooldown to 4°C that tempers extremes. Recent late-March warmth under high-pressure ridges has given way to more typical variability, with model ensembles showing ±1-2°C spreads from cloud cover or wind shifts. Hourly CMA guidance and airport observations will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$68,678Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and ECMWF ensembles project Beijing's highest temperature on April 1 peaking around 18-19°C in the mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies with light southerly breezes, driving strong trader consensus at 47% implied probability for 18°C and 31.5% for 19°C. This aligns with early April climatological normals of 18-19°C highs amid spring warming, following March 31's observed maximum of 17.4°C and an overnight cooldown to 4°C that tempers extremes. Recent late-March warmth under high-pressure ridges has given way to more typical variability, with model ensembles showing ±1-2°C spreads from cloud cover or wind shifts. Hourly CMA guidance and airport observations will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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