Market icon

¿Grok 4.20 lanzado el...?

Market icon

¿Grok 4.20 lanzado el...?

17 de febrero 100.0%

Lanzado antes del 15 de febrero <1%

15 de febrero <1%

16 de febrero <1%

Polymarket

$662,720 Vol.

17 de febrero 100.0%

Lanzado antes del 15 de febrero <1%

15 de febrero <1%

16 de febrero <1%

Polymarket

$662,720 Vol.

Lanzado antes del 15 de febrero

$2,977 Vol.

No

15 de febrero

$17,397 Vol.

No

16 de febrero

$26,736 Vol.

No

17 de febrero

$339,317 Vol.

18 de febrero

$15,487 Vol.

No

19 de febrero

$17,720 Vol.

No

20 de febrero

$14,583 Vol.

No

21 de febrero

$14,129 Vol.

No

22 de febrero

$13,241 Vol.

No

23 de febrero

$17,374 Vol.

No

24 de febrero

$16,247 Vol.

No

25 de febrero

$18,194 Vol.

No

26 de febrero

$20,379 Vol.

No

27 de febrero

$18,113 Vol.

No

28 de febrero

$10,062 Vol.

No

1 de marzo

$12,480 Vol.

No

2 de marzo

$5,631 Vol.

No

3 de marzo

$3,468 Vol.

No

4 de marzo

$3,391 Vol.

No

5 de marzo

$3,883 Vol.

No

6 de marzo

$2,247 Vol.

No

7 de marzo

$3,054 Vol.

No

8 de marzo

$3,505 Vol.

No

9 de marzo

$3,902 Vol.

No

10 de marzo

$3,203 Vol.

No

11 de marzo

$1,641 Vol.

No

12 de marzo

$4,654 Vol.

No

13 de marzo

$1,255 Vol.

No

14 de marzo

$2,200 Vol.

No

15 de marzo

$3,032 Vol.

No

16 de marzo

$1,015 Vol.

No

17 de marzo

$3,878 Vol.

No

18 de marzo

$2,291 Vol.

No

19 de marzo

$1,515 Vol.

No

20 de marzo

$2,805 Vol.

No

21 de marzo

$1,761 Vol.

No

22 de marzo

$2,557 Vol.

No

23 de marzo

$3,561 Vol.

No

24 de marzo

$1,860 Vol.

No

25 de marzo

$2,042 Vol.

No

26 de marzo

$1,807 Vol.

No

27 de marzo

$2,304 Vol.

No

28 de marzo

$1,224 Vol.

No

29 de marzo

$2,135 Vol.

No

30 de marzo

$2,111 Vol.

No

31 de marzo

$2,294 Vol.

No

Sin publicación antes del 31 de marzo

$8,062 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.

This market will resolve to "Released before February 15" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "No release by March 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.

Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$662,720
Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "Released before February 15" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "No release by March 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿Grok 4.20 lanzado el...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 47+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "17 de febrero" at 100%, followed by "Lanzado antes del 15 de febrero" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "¿Grok 4.20 lanzado el...?" has generated $662.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "¿Grok 4.20 lanzado el...?," browse the 47+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "¿Grok 4.20 lanzado el...?" is "17 de febrero" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lanzado antes del 15 de febrero" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "¿Grok 4.20 lanzado el...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.