xAI has yet to release Grok 5 as of early May 2026, with trader consensus on Polymarket reflecting persistent delays from Elon Musk's August 2025 pledge for a year-end launch and subsequent Q1 2026 target. Recent momentum centers on the Grok 4 series, highlighted by the May 5 rollout of Grok 4.3 via xAI API—now topping Artificial Analysis leaderboards for agentic tool calling and instruction following, with a 1 million token context window. Musk's April 18 update flagged Grok 4.4 (1T parameters) for early May and 4.5 (1.5T) by late May, amid training of seven models including a 10T-parameter Grok 5 on the Colossus 2 supercluster. Competitive races with OpenAI's GPT-5 and Anthropic benchmarks underscore timeline uncertainty; monitor xAI announcements for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$153,225 Vol.
30 jun 2026
30 de junio de 2026
9%
$153,225 Vol.
30 de junio de 2026
$44,008 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI has yet to release Grok 5 as of early May 2026, with trader consensus on Polymarket reflecting persistent delays from Elon Musk's August 2025 pledge for a year-end launch and subsequent Q1 2026 target. Recent momentum centers on the Grok 4 series, highlighted by the May 5 rollout of Grok 4.3 via xAI API—now topping Artificial Analysis leaderboards for agentic tool calling and instruction following, with a 1 million token context window. Musk's April 18 update flagged Grok 4.4 (1T parameters) for early May and 4.5 (1.5T) by late May, amid training of seven models including a 10T-parameter Grok 5 on the Colossus 2 supercluster. Competitive races with OpenAI's GPT-5 and Anthropic benchmarks underscore timeline uncertainty; monitor xAI announcements for shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$153,225Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI has yet to release Grok 5 as of early May 2026, with trader consensus on Polymarket reflecting persistent delays from Elon Musk's August 2025 pledge for a year-end launch and subsequent Q1 2026 target. Recent momentum centers on the Grok 4 series, highlighted by the May 5 rollout of Grok 4.3 via xAI API—now topping Artificial Analysis leaderboards for agentic tool calling and instruction following, with a 1 million token context window. Musk's April 18 update flagged Grok 4.4 (1T parameters) for early May and 4.5 (1.5T) by late May, amid training of seven models including a 10T-parameter Grok 5 on the Colossus 2 supercluster. Competitive races with OpenAI's GPT-5 and Anthropic benchmarks underscore timeline uncertainty; monitor xAI announcements for shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$153,225Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI has yet to release Grok 5 as of early May 2026, with trader consensus on Polymarket reflecting persistent delays from Elon Musk's August 2025 pledge for a year-end launch and subsequent Q1 2026 target. Recent momentum centers on the Grok 4 series, highlighted by the May 5 rollout of Grok 4.3 via xAI API—now topping Artificial Analysis leaderboards for agentic tool calling and instruction following, with a 1 million token context window. Musk's April 18 update flagged Grok 4.4 (1T parameters) for early May and 4.5 (1.5T) by late May, amid training of seven models including a 10T-parameter Grok 5 on the Colossus 2 supercluster. Competitive races with OpenAI's GPT-5 and Anthropic benchmarks underscore timeline uncertainty; monitor xAI announcements for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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