In the open-seat Republican primary for Georgia's 11th Congressional District on May 19, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field of eight candidates with no public polls to establish a frontrunner, keeping top probabilities tightly clustered around 40% for Lisa Carlquist, Chris Mora, John Cowan, and John Hobbs. Recent candidate forums in Cherokee and Bartow counties on March 20 and 24 drew multiple contenders but failed to create separation, while targeted endorsements—Veterans for America First backing Carlquist on March 13 and Georgia Republican Assembly endorsing Mora days ago—bolstered their positions without decisive momentum. Limited early fundraising visibility, with only Mora reporting under $10,000 raised as of late 2025, underscores uncertainty; surges in next FEC filings, high-profile endorsements, or strong early voting turnout could tip the balance toward a runoff on June 16.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGA-11 Republican Primary Winner
GA-11 Republican Primary Winner
Lisa Carlquist 43%
Chris Mora 43%
John Hobbs 42%
John Cowan 41%
Lisa Carlquist
43%
Chris Mora
43%
John Hobbs
42%
John Cowan
41%
Rob Adkerson
30%
Tricia Pridemore
28%
William Brown
12%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
20%
Lisa Carlquist 43%
Chris Mora 43%
John Hobbs 42%
John Cowan 41%
Lisa Carlquist
43%
Chris Mora
43%
John Hobbs
42%
John Cowan
41%
Rob Adkerson
30%
Tricia Pridemore
28%
William Brown
12%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
20%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the open-seat Republican primary for Georgia's 11th Congressional District on May 19, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field of eight candidates with no public polls to establish a frontrunner, keeping top probabilities tightly clustered around 40% for Lisa Carlquist, Chris Mora, John Cowan, and John Hobbs. Recent candidate forums in Cherokee and Bartow counties on March 20 and 24 drew multiple contenders but failed to create separation, while targeted endorsements—Veterans for America First backing Carlquist on March 13 and Georgia Republican Assembly endorsing Mora days ago—bolstered their positions without decisive momentum. Limited early fundraising visibility, with only Mora reporting under $10,000 raised as of late 2025, underscores uncertainty; surges in next FEC filings, high-profile endorsements, or strong early voting turnout could tip the balance toward a runoff on June 16.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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