Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet volume market for March 31–April 7 tightly clusters around 260–339 posts (46.5% combined implied probability), reflecting his volatile posting cadence amid subdued recent activity. After a high of 360–379 tweets the prior week (March 17–24), the ongoing March 24–31 period tallies just 169 posts through March 29 (averaging ~24/day), slowed by fewer viral catalysts despite Grok's new multilingual translation rollout sparking a handful of updates. Key swing factors include potential Tesla FSD Europe buzz, xAI advancements, or political commentary, which historically spike his daily output to 40+; absent major announcements, traders hedge on a moderate rebound to 37–48 posts/day versus prolonged lull below 30. Chart lock on April 7 sharpens focus on late-week momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado260-279 14%
280-299 13%
300-319 11%
320-339 11%
$2,338,467 Vol.
$2,338,467 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
4%
200-219
7%
220-239
8%
240-259
10%
260-279
14%
280-299
13%
300-319
11%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
5%
380-399
4%
400-419
3%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 14%
280-299 13%
300-319 11%
320-339 11%
$2,338,467 Vol.
$2,338,467 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
4%
200-219
7%
220-239
8%
240-259
10%
260-279
14%
280-299
13%
300-319
11%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
5%
380-399
4%
400-419
3%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet volume market for March 31–April 7 tightly clusters around 260–339 posts (46.5% combined implied probability), reflecting his volatile posting cadence amid subdued recent activity. After a high of 360–379 tweets the prior week (March 17–24), the ongoing March 24–31 period tallies just 169 posts through March 29 (averaging ~24/day), slowed by fewer viral catalysts despite Grok's new multilingual translation rollout sparking a handful of updates. Key swing factors include potential Tesla FSD Europe buzz, xAI advancements, or political commentary, which historically spike his daily output to 40+; absent major announcements, traders hedge on a moderate rebound to 37–48 posts/day versus prolonged lull below 30. Chart lock on April 7 sharpens focus on late-week momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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