Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 1360-1519 X posts (implied probabilities of 8-10% each for top bins), projecting Elon Musk's signature high-volume tweeting pace of roughly 45-50 posts daily over April's 30 days, consistent with March 2026's extrapolated 1320-1399 range amid steady output of 30-60 posts per day tracked via recent short-term markets. This reflects his habitual real-time engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, political discourse, and viral memes, with no major catalysts in the past week to shift dynamics. Competitive uncertainty stems from variable daily swings—lulls during travel or focus on DOGE advisory role versus spikes from breaking announcements—setting up first-week April pacing as the key swing factor before monthly lock-in.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado1400-1439 10.7%
1360-1399 9.6%
1440-1479 8.9%
1320-1359 8.5%
$4,377,325 Vol.
$4,377,325 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
1%
840-879
<1%
880-919
1%
920-959
2%
960-999
1%
1000-1039
1%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
4%
1160-1199
4%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
7%
1280-1319
8%
1320-1359
9%
1360-1399
10%
1400-1439
11%
1440-1479
9%
1480-1519
7%
1520-1559
6%
1560-1599
6%
1600-1679
5%
1680-1759
3%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
3%
1920-1999
2%
2000+
1%
1400-1439 10.7%
1360-1399 9.6%
1440-1479 8.9%
1320-1359 8.5%
$4,377,325 Vol.
$4,377,325 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
1%
840-879
<1%
880-919
1%
920-959
2%
960-999
1%
1000-1039
1%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
4%
1160-1199
4%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
7%
1280-1319
8%
1320-1359
9%
1360-1399
10%
1400-1439
11%
1440-1479
9%
1480-1519
7%
1520-1559
6%
1560-1599
6%
1600-1679
5%
1680-1759
3%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
3%
1920-1999
2%
2000+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 1360-1519 X posts (implied probabilities of 8-10% each for top bins), projecting Elon Musk's signature high-volume tweeting pace of roughly 45-50 posts daily over April's 30 days, consistent with March 2026's extrapolated 1320-1399 range amid steady output of 30-60 posts per day tracked via recent short-term markets. This reflects his habitual real-time engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, political discourse, and viral memes, with no major catalysts in the past week to shift dynamics. Competitive uncertainty stems from variable daily swings—lulls during travel or focus on DOGE advisory role versus spikes from breaking announcements—setting up first-week April pacing as the key swing factor before monthly lock-in.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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