Market icon

Canada tariffs on U.S. in effect by Friday?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$24,540 Vol.

On February 3, 2025, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau confirmed that Canada and the United States agreed to delay the imposition of respective tariffs on imported goods (see: https://www.canada.ca/en/department-finance/news/2025/02/list-of-products-from-the-united-states-subject-to-25-per-cent-tariffs-effective-february-4-2025.html)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if new tariffs on imports into Canada from the United States goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3, 2025, and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.

Only tariffs specifically targeting the United States will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into Canada) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volumen
$24,540
Fecha de finalización
Mar 7, 2025
Creado en
Mar 3, 2025, 1:17 PM ET
On February 3, 2025, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau confirmed that Canada and the United States agreed to delay the imposition of respective tariffs on imported goods (see: https://www.canada.ca/en/department-finance/news/2025/02/list-of-products-from-the-united-states-subject-to-25-per-cent-tariffs-effective-february-4-2025.html) This market will resolve to “Yes” if new tariffs on imports into Canada from the United States goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3, 2025, and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. Only tariffs specifically targeting the United States will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into Canada) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Canada tariffs on U.S. in effect by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Canada tariffs on U.S. in effect by Friday?" has generated $24.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Canada tariffs on U.S. in effect by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Canada tariffs on U.S. in effect by Friday?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Canada tariffs on U.S. in effect by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Canada tariffs on U.S. in effect by Friday?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$24,540 Vol.

On February 3, 2025, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau confirmed that Canada and the United States agreed to delay the imposition of respective tariffs on imported goods (see: https://www.canada.ca/en/department-finance/news/2025/02/list-of-products-from-the-united-states-subject-to-25-per-cent-tariffs-effective-february-4-2025.html)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if new tariffs on imports into Canada from the United States goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3, 2025, and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.

Only tariffs specifically targeting the United States will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into Canada) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volumen
$24,540
Fecha de finalización
Mar 7, 2025
Creado en
Mar 3, 2025, 1:17 PM ET
On February 3, 2025, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau confirmed that Canada and the United States agreed to delay the imposition of respective tariffs on imported goods (see: https://www.canada.ca/en/department-finance/news/2025/02/list-of-products-from-the-united-states-subject-to-25-per-cent-tariffs-effective-february-4-2025.html) This market will resolve to “Yes” if new tariffs on imports into Canada from the United States goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3, 2025, and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. Only tariffs specifically targeting the United States will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into Canada) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Canada tariffs on U.S. in effect by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Canada tariffs on U.S. in effect by Friday?" has generated $24.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Canada tariffs on U.S. in effect by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Canada tariffs on U.S. in effect by Friday?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Canada tariffs on U.S. in effect by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.