Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability of no change at the Bank of England's April 30 MPC meeting, anchored by the committee's unanimous 9-0 vote to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19 amid persistent inflation pressures and risks from the Iran conflict driving up energy costs. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0%—well above the 2% target—reinforcing a cautious policy stance, with services inflation and wage growth remaining sticky. An 18% chance of a rate hike reflects trader concerns over potential oil price spikes and secondary inflation effects, while cut probabilities below 1% signal negligible easing expectations. Key catalysts include forthcoming March CPI data and evolving Middle East tensions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?
¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?
Sin cambios 81%
Aumento 18.0%
Bajada de 25 puntos básicos <1%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
$198,678 Vol.
$198,678 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
<1%
Bajada de 25 puntos básicos
<1%
Sin cambios
81%
Aumento
18%
Sin cambios 81%
Aumento 18.0%
Bajada de 25 puntos básicos <1%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
$198,678 Vol.
$198,678 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
$21,614 Vol.
<1%
Bajada de 25 puntos básicos
$86,538 Vol.
<1%
Sin cambios
$48,818 Vol.
81%
Aumento
$41,708 Vol.
18%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability of no change at the Bank of England's April 30 MPC meeting, anchored by the committee's unanimous 9-0 vote to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19 amid persistent inflation pressures and risks from the Iran conflict driving up energy costs. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0%—well above the 2% target—reinforcing a cautious policy stance, with services inflation and wage growth remaining sticky. An 18% chance of a rate hike reflects trader concerns over potential oil price spikes and secondary inflation effects, while cut probabilities below 1% signal negligible easing expectations. Key catalysts include forthcoming March CPI data and evolving Middle East tensions.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
Volumen
$198,678Fecha de finalización
Apr 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability of no change at the Bank of England's April 30 MPC meeting, anchored by the committee's unanimous 9-0 vote to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19 amid persistent inflation pressures and risks from the Iran conflict driving up energy costs. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0%—well above the 2% target—reinforcing a cautious policy stance, with services inflation and wage growth remaining sticky. An 18% chance of a rate hike reflects trader concerns over potential oil price spikes and secondary inflation effects, while cut probabilities below 1% signal negligible easing expectations. Key catalysts include forthcoming March CPI data and evolving Middle East tensions.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$198,678Fecha de finalización
Apr 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability of no change at the Bank of England's April 30 MPC meeting, anchored by the committee's unanimous 9-0 vote to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19 amid persistent inflation pressures and risks from the Iran conflict driving up energy costs. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0%—well above the 2% target—reinforcing a cautious policy stance, with services inflation and wage growth remaining sticky. An 18% chance of a rate hike reflects trader concerns over potential oil price spikes and secondary inflation effects, while cut probabilities below 1% signal negligible easing expectations. Key catalysts include forthcoming March CPI data and evolving Middle East tensions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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