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Mundo·Tarifas Globales

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Market icon
Mundo·Tarifas Globales

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Apr 28

Jun 16

Apr 28

Jun 16

Decrease 72%

No Change 20%

Increase 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Decrease 72%

No Change 20%

Increase 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Increase

$107 Vol.

9%

No Change

$185 Vol.

20%

Decrease

$55 Vol.

72%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 72.5% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June 2026 Copom meeting, driven by the committee's March 17-18 unanimous 25 basis point cut to 14.75%—the first easing in nearly two years—signaling a shallow monetary policy normalization amid cooling annual inflation at 3.81% in February, despite a hotter-than-expected 0.44% March CPI monthly rise. The 20.5% no-change odds reflect hawkish minutes released March 24, citing persistent services inflation, elevated 2026 expectations at 4.1% versus the 3% target (±1.5%), and oil price shocks from Middle East tensions. Increase odds at 9.0% remain slim given forward DI curve pricing for further modest cuts, with key April-May data and the next Copom pivotal for sentiment shifts.

Polymarket traders assign a 72.5% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June 2026 Copom meeting, driven by the committee's March 17-18 unanimous 25 basis point cut to 14.75%—the first easing in nearly two years—signaling a shallow monetary policy normalization amid cooling annual inflation at 3.81% in February, despite a hotter-than-expected 0.44% March CPI monthly rise. The 20.5% no-change odds reflect hawkish minutes released March 24, citing persistent services inflation, elevated 2026 expectations at 4.1% versus the 3% target (±1.5%), and oil price shocks from Middle East tensions. Increase odds at 9.0% remain slim given forward DI curve pricing for further modest cuts, with key April-May data and the next Copom pivotal for sentiment shifts.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 72.5% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June 2026 Copom meeting, driven by the committee's March 17-18 unanimous 25 basis point cut to 14.75%—the first easing in nearly two years—signaling a shallow monetary policy normalization amid cooling annual inflation at 3.81% in February, despite a hotter-than-expected 0.44% March CPI monthly rise. The 20.5% no-change odds reflect hawkish minutes released March 24, citing persistent services inflation, elevated 2026 expectations at 4.1% versus the 3% target (±1.5%), and oil price shocks from Middle East tensions. Increase odds at 9.0% remain slim given forward DI curve pricing for further modest cuts, with key April-May data and the next Copom pivotal for sentiment shifts.

Polymarket traders assign a 72.5% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June 2026 Copom meeting, driven by the committee's March 17-18 unanimous 25 basis point cut to 14.75%—the first easing in nearly two years—signaling a shallow monetary policy normalization amid cooling annual inflation at 3.81% in February, despite a hotter-than-expected 0.44% March CPI monthly rise. The 20.5% no-change odds reflect hawkish minutes released March 24, citing persistent services inflation, elevated 2026 expectations at 4.1% versus the 3% target (±1.5%), and oil price shocks from Middle East tensions. Increase odds at 9.0% remain slim given forward DI curve pricing for further modest cuts, with key April-May data and the next Copom pivotal for sentiment shifts.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Bank of Brazil Decision in June?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Decrease" con 72%, seguido de "No Change" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 72¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Bank of Brazil Decision in June?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 24, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Bank of Brazil Decision in June?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Bank of Brazil Decision in June?" es "Decrease" con 72%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "No Change" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Bank of Brazil Decision in June?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.