Trader consensus assigns a 97% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline announcement, with bankers' pitches targeting a Q4 debut at up to $380 billion valuation and $60 billion raise, per recent reports. Anthropic's aggressive scaling of Claude large language models—including March releases like Opus 4.6, Sonnet 4.6, and agent SDKs—sustains growth via Amazon and Google infrastructure partnerships, obviating near-term public market needs amid cash-intensive AI development. SpaceX's confidential IPO filing heightens window competition. Realistic challenges include an accelerated S-1 submission exploiting hot private market sentiment or regulatory fast-tracking, though standard 3-6 month processes render this improbable before Q3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026 97.1%
600 mil millones+ 1.3%
300–400 mil millones <1%
400–600 mil millones <1%
$928,808 Vol.
$928,808 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Título del ítem del grupo: <100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300 mil millones
<1%
300–400 mil millones
1%
400–600 mil millones
1%
600 mil millones+
1%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026
97%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026 97.1%
600 mil millones+ 1.3%
300–400 mil millones <1%
400–600 mil millones <1%
$928,808 Vol.
$928,808 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Título del ítem del grupo: <100B
$191,659 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$64,639 Vol.
<1%
200–300 mil millones
$121,183 Vol.
<1%
300–400 mil millones
$62,311 Vol.
1%
400–600 mil millones
$93,414 Vol.
1%
600 mil millones+
$232,978 Vol.
1%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026
$162,623 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus assigns a 97% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline announcement, with bankers' pitches targeting a Q4 debut at up to $380 billion valuation and $60 billion raise, per recent reports. Anthropic's aggressive scaling of Claude large language models—including March releases like Opus 4.6, Sonnet 4.6, and agent SDKs—sustains growth via Amazon and Google infrastructure partnerships, obviating near-term public market needs amid cash-intensive AI development. SpaceX's confidential IPO filing heightens window competition. Realistic challenges include an accelerated S-1 submission exploiting hot private market sentiment or regulatory fast-tracking, though standard 3-6 month processes render this improbable before Q3.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$928,808Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus assigns a 97% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline announcement, with bankers' pitches targeting a Q4 debut at up to $380 billion valuation and $60 billion raise, per recent reports. Anthropic's aggressive scaling of Claude large language models—including March releases like Opus 4.6, Sonnet 4.6, and agent SDKs—sustains growth via Amazon and Google infrastructure partnerships, obviating near-term public market needs amid cash-intensive AI development. SpaceX's confidential IPO filing heightens window competition. Realistic challenges include an accelerated S-1 submission exploiting hot private market sentiment or regulatory fast-tracking, though standard 3-6 month processes render this improbable before Q3.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$928,808Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns a 97% implied probability to no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline announcement, with bankers' pitches targeting a Q4 debut at up to $380 billion valuation and $60 billion raise, per recent reports. Anthropic's aggressive scaling of Claude large language models—including March releases like Opus 4.6, Sonnet 4.6, and agent SDKs—sustains growth via Amazon and Google infrastructure partnerships, obviating near-term public market needs amid cash-intensive AI development. SpaceX's confidential IPO filing heightens window competition. Realistic challenges include an accelerated S-1 submission exploiting hot private market sentiment or regulatory fast-tracking, though standard 3-6 month processes render this improbable before Q3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes