Macro Indicators Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Economy

Economy

January Inflation US - Annual (Lower Brackets) card icon

January Inflation US - Annual (Lower Brackets)

≤2.1%

8%

2.2%

1%

≤2.1%

8%

2.2%

1%

$147k Vol.

Monthly
ECB Interest Rates: February 2026 card icon

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

1%

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

1%

$323k Vol.

Monthly
US GDP growth in Q4 2025? card icon

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

<1.0%

2%

1.0–1.5%

<1%

<1.0%

2%

1.0–1.5%

<1%

$247k Vol.

Monthly
January Inflation US - Monthly card icon

January Inflation US - Monthly

≤0.1%

25%

0.2%

34%

≤0.1%

25%

0.2%

34%

$66k Vol.

Monthly
Bank of Brazil decision in January? card icon

Bank of Brazil decision in January?

No Change

92%

Cut

8%

No Change

92%

Cut

8%

$153k Vol.

Daily
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? card icon

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 5.5%

2%

↑ 5.25%

3%

↑ 5.5%

2%

↑ 5.25%

3%

$466k Vol.

How many jobs added in January? card icon

How many jobs added in January?

<0

1%

0-25k

19%

<0

1%

0-25k

19%

$57k Vol.

Monthly
Price of Dozen Eggs in January card icon

Price of Dozen Eggs in January

<$2.50

52%

$2.50–2.75

45%

<$2.50

52%

$2.50–2.75

45%

$13k Vol.

Monthly
China Annual GDP Growth 2026 card icon

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

<1.0%

5%

1.0–2.0%

2%

<1.0%

5%

1.0–2.0%

2%

NEW

ECB Interest Rates: March 2026 card icon

ECB Interest Rates: March 2026

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

5%

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

5%

$15k Vol.

Monthly
Negative GDP growth in 2025? card icon

Negative GDP growth in 2025?

2%

chance

$117k Vol.

Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025? card icon

Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025?

<0.0%

1%

0.0-0.5%

6%

<0.0%

1%

0.0-0.5%

6%

NEW

January Inflation Argentina - Annual card icon

January Inflation Argentina - Annual

<24%

4%

24–26.9%

2%

<24%

4%

24–26.9%

2%

NEW

Monthly
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026? card icon

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?

<3.5%

17%

3.5-4.0%

13%

<3.5%

17%

3.5-4.0%

13%

NEW

Monthly
How high will inflation get in 2026? card icon

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 3%

27%

Above 4%

12%

Above 3%

27%

Above 4%

12%

$40k Vol.

How high will US unemployment go in 2026? card icon

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.0%

26%

5.5%

16%

5.0%

26%

5.5%

16%

$34k Vol.

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026 card icon

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

<20%

37%

20-24.9%

39%

<20%

37%

20-24.9%

39%

NEW

Monthly
Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025? card icon

Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?

1%

chance

$29k Vol.

Monthly
January Inflation Argentina - Monthly card icon

January Inflation Argentina - Monthly

<1.7%

<1%

1.7–1.9%

6%

<1.7%

<1%

1.7–1.9%

6%

NEW

Daily