Macro Indicators Odds &amp; Predictions | Polymarket

0.2%

29%

≤0.1%

40%

0.2%

29%

$246k Vol.

Monthly

South Korean Unemployment Up/Down in February?

41%

Yes41%No59%

No Change

39%

Yes39%No61%

41%

Yes41%No59%

No Change

39%

Yes39%No61%

NEW

•

$19k Vol.

Monthly

ECB Interest Rates: March 2026

50+ bps decrease

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

25 bps decrease

Yes5%No95%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

25 bps decrease

Yes5%No95%

$119k Vol.

UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?

Negative

30%

Yes30%No70%

0.0-0.3%

40%

Negative

30%

Yes30%No70%

0.0-0.3%

40%

NEW

•

$15k Vol.

Monthly

Negative GDP growth in 2025?

chance

Yes

$169k Vol.

January Inflation US - Annual

≤2.8%

97%

Yes97%No3%

2.9%

Yes2%No98%

≤2.8%

97%

Yes97%No3%

2.9%

Yes2%No98%

$61k Vol.

Monthly

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

<1.0%

1.0–1.5%

<1.0%

1.0–1.5%

$346k Vol.

Monthly

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 5.5%

↑ 5.25%

↑ 5.5%

↑ 5.25%

$596k Vol.

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 3%

29%

Above 4%

12%

Yes12%No88%

Above 3%

29%

Above 4%

12%

Yes12%No88%

$71k Vol.

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.0%

32%

Yes32%No68%

5.5%

25%

Yes25%No75%

5.0%

32%

Yes32%No68%

5.5%

25%

Yes25%No75%

$64k Vol.

January 2026 Unemployment Rate - Japan

≤2.1%

2.2%

17%

Yes17%No83%

≤2.1%

2.2%

17%

Yes17%No83%

$425k Vol.

Monthly

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

<2.50%

2.50% to 2.99%

<2.50%

2.50% to 2.99%

NEW

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

<1.0%

1.0–1.5%

14%

Yes14%No86%

<1.0%