Macro Indicators

January 2026 Unemployment Rate - Japan card icon

Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?

<1%

chance

Yes

$758K Vol.

Monthly

ECB Interest Rates: March 2026

50+ bps decrease

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

25 bps decrease

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$408K Vol.

March Inflation US - Annual

≤2.0%

Yes1%No99%

2.1%

Yes1%No99%

$59K Vol.

Monthly

February Inflation US - Monthly

≤0.0%

Yes3%No97%

0.1%

Yes4%No96%

$92K Vol.

Monthly

February Inflation US - Annual

≤2.1%

Yes1%No99%

2.2%

Yes2%No98%

$325K Vol.

Monthly

Argentina Monthly Inflation - February

≤2.1%

Yes1%No99%

2.2–2.4%

Yes3%No97%

$37K Vol.

Daily

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 3%

50%

Yes50%No50%

Above 4%

17%

Yes17%No83%

$112K Vol.

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

<1.0%

27%

Yes27%No73%

1.0–1.5%

13%

Yes13%No87%

$113K Vol.

Monthly

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.0%

53%

Yes53%No47%

5.5%

31%

Yes31%No69%

$135K Vol.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.25%

91%

Yes91%No9%

↓ 3.0%

70%

Yes70%No30%

$657K Vol.

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

<1.0%

Yes1%No99%

1.0–2.0%

Yes3%No97%

$19K Vol.

Price of Dozen Eggs in February

<$2.30

Yes8%No92%

$2.30–2.40

16%

Yes16%No84%

NEW

Monthly

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

chance

Yes

NEW

March Unemployment Rate

≤3.9%

Yes9%No91%

4.1%

Yes5%No95%

NEW

Monthly

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?

<3.5%

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

3.5-4.0%

Yes7%No93%

NEW

Monthly

China Annual Inflation 2026

<-1.0%

Yes4%No96%

-0.4 – 0.0%

Yes3%No97%

NEW

Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?

<0.0%

25%

Yes25%No75%

0.0-0.5%

Yes6%No94%

NEW

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

14%

chance

Yes

$13K Vol.

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

12%

chance

Yes

NEW

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

<1.0%

Yes8%No92%

1.3–1.5%

Yes1%No99%

NEW

All

Trade War

Fed Rates

Inflation

Macro Indicators

GDP

Global Rates

Taxes

Treasuries

TSA

Housing