Macro Indicators Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

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Economy

Economy

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China GDP growth in Q4 2025? card icon

China GDP growth in Q4 2025?

<2.5%

<1%

2.5-3.0%

<1%

<2.5%

<1%

2.5-3.0%

<1%

$398k Vol.

repeat-3Monthly
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? card icon

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 5.5%

2%

↑ 5.25%

3%

↑ 5.5%

2%

↑ 5.25%

3%

$439k Vol.

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026 card icon

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

2%

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

2%

$291k Vol.

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December Inflation Canada - Annual card icon

December Inflation Canada - Annual

≤2.0%

27%

2.1%

31%

≤2.0%

27%

2.1%

31%

$7k Vol.

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January Inflation US - Monthly card icon

January Inflation US - Monthly

≤0.1%

25%

0.2%

36%

≤0.1%

25%

0.2%

36%

$43k Vol.

repeat-3Monthly
How many jobs added in January? card icon

How many jobs added in January?

<0

3%

0-25k

15%

<0

3%

0-25k

15%

$43k Vol.

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Bank of Brazil decision in January? card icon

Bank of Brazil decision in January?

No Change

88%

Cut

6%

No Change

88%

Cut

6%

$126k Vol.

repeat-3Daily
December Inflation Eurozone - Monthly card icon

December Inflation Eurozone - Monthly

≤-0.2%

<1%

-0.1%

1%

≤-0.2%

<1%

-0.1%

1%

$7k Vol.

January Inflation US - Annual (Lower Brackets) card icon

January Inflation US - Annual (Lower Brackets)

≤2.1%

2%

2.2%

1%

≤2.1%

2%

2.2%

1%

$15k Vol.

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December Inflation U.K. - Annual card icon

December Inflation U.K. - Annual

≤2.8%

1%

2.9%

2%

≤2.8%

1%

2.9%

2%

$10k Vol.

US GDP growth in Q4 2025? card icon

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

<1.0%

3%

1.0–1.5%

1%

<1.0%

3%

1.0–1.5%

1%

$233k Vol.

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Price of Dozen Eggs in January card icon

Price of Dozen Eggs in January

<$2.50

23%

$2.50–2.75

45%

<$2.50

23%

$2.50–2.75

45%

$5k Vol.

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Bank of Mexico decision in February? card icon

Bank of Mexico decision in February?

Decrease

10%

No change

91%

Decrease

10%

No change

91%

$42k Vol.

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How high will inflation get in 2026? card icon

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 3%

28%

Above 4%

10%

Above 3%

28%

Above 4%

10%

$39k Vol.

December Inflation Canada - Monthly card icon

December Inflation Canada - Monthly

≤0.0%

83%

0.1%

14%

≤0.0%

83%

0.1%

14%

$2k Vol.

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January Inflation US - Annual card icon

January Inflation US - Annual

≤2.8%

96%

2.9%

2%

≤2.8%

96%

2.9%

2%

$21k Vol.

repeat-3Monthly
ECB Interest Rates: March 2026 card icon

ECB Interest Rates: March 2026

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

5%

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

5%

$11k Vol.

repeat-3Monthly
How high will US unemployment go in 2026? card icon

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.0%

26%

5.5%

14%

5.0%

26%

5.5%

14%

$33k Vol.

Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025? card icon

Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025?

<0.0%

10%

0.0%

1%

<0.0%

10%

0.0%

1%

$8k Vol.