Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 96.3% implied probability for Senate passage of the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), driven by a failed cloture vote on March 26, 2026, where the motion fell short 53-47 amid filibuster opposition from Democrats and defections from Republicans like Sens. Murkowski and Tillis. The bill, requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, passed the House narrowly in February 2026 on a party-line basis but faces steep hurdles in the GOP-led Senate lacking 60 votes for cloture. Stalled during the spring recess, it awaits post-April 6 floor action, though civil rights groups' criticism and no bipartisan path signal low enactment odds. Realistic shifts could stem from attaching to a must-pass appropriations bill, GOP whip improvements, or rare Democratic concessions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWill the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
$37,905 Vol.
$37,905 Vol.
$37,905 Vol.
$37,905 Vol.
If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 96.3% implied probability for Senate passage of the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), driven by a failed cloture vote on March 26, 2026, where the motion fell short 53-47 amid filibuster opposition from Democrats and defections from Republicans like Sens. Murkowski and Tillis. The bill, requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, passed the House narrowly in February 2026 on a party-line basis but faces steep hurdles in the GOP-led Senate lacking 60 votes for cloture. Stalled during the spring recess, it awaits post-April 6 floor action, though civil rights groups' criticism and no bipartisan path signal low enactment odds. Realistic shifts could stem from attaching to a must-pass appropriations bill, GOP whip improvements, or rare Democratic concessions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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