Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 65-89 tweets (32.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (29%) for Elon Musk's X posts from April 4-6, reflecting his steady recent cadence of 30-40 daily tweets—including main feed posts, quotes, and reposts—as evidenced by the March 27-April 3 resolution at 277 total (40/day average) and March 30-April 1 at 90-114. With no confirmed catalysts like Starship flights or Tesla announcements on the horizon, the competitive dynamics hinge on weekend lulls (April 4-5) versus potential spikes from viral Grok updates, cultural commentary, or political engagement, keeping lower bins viable amid his consistent pop culture dominance. Resolution nears April 7, with real-time XTracker data as the swing factor.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert65-89 32%
90-114 28%
40-64 20%
115-139 14%
NEU
$134,822 Vol.
NEU
$134,822 Vol.
6. Apr. 2026
<40
3%
40-64
20%
65-89
32%
90-114
28%
115-139
14%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 32%
90-114 28%
40-64 20%
115-139 14%
NEU
$134,822 Vol.
NEU
$134,822 Vol.
6. Apr. 2026
<40
$10,096 Vol.
3%
40-64
$6,439 Vol.
20%
65-89
$2,301 Vol.
32%
90-114
$5,153 Vol.
28%
115-139
$5,398 Vol.
14%
140-164
$5,914 Vol.
3%
165-189
$11,345 Vol.
1%
190-214
$12,645 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$36,133 Vol.
<1%
240+
$39,656 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 65-89 tweets (32.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (29%) for Elon Musk's X posts from April 4-6, reflecting his steady recent cadence of 30-40 daily tweets—including main feed posts, quotes, and reposts—as evidenced by the March 27-April 3 resolution at 277 total (40/day average) and March 30-April 1 at 90-114. With no confirmed catalysts like Starship flights or Tesla announcements on the horizon, the competitive dynamics hinge on weekend lulls (April 4-5) versus potential spikes from viral Grok updates, cultural commentary, or political engagement, keeping lower bins viable amid his consistent pop culture dominance. Resolution nears April 7, with real-time XTracker data as the swing factor.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
Volumen
$134,822Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 65-89 tweets (32.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (29%) for Elon Musk's X posts from April 4-6, reflecting his steady recent cadence of 30-40 daily tweets—including main feed posts, quotes, and reposts—as evidenced by the March 27-April 3 resolution at 277 total (40/day average) and March 30-April 1 at 90-114. With no confirmed catalysts like Starship flights or Tesla announcements on the horizon, the competitive dynamics hinge on weekend lulls (April 4-5) versus potential spikes from viral Grok updates, cultural commentary, or political engagement, keeping lower bins viable amid his consistent pop culture dominance. Resolution nears April 7, with real-time XTracker data as the swing factor.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$134,822Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 65-89 tweets (32.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (29%) for Elon Musk's X posts from April 4-6, reflecting his steady recent cadence of 30-40 daily tweets—including main feed posts, quotes, and reposts—as evidenced by the March 27-April 3 resolution at 277 total (40/day average) and March 30-April 1 at 90-114. With no confirmed catalysts like Starship flights or Tesla announcements on the horizon, the competitive dynamics hinge on weekend lulls (April 4-5) versus potential spikes from viral Grok updates, cultural commentary, or political engagement, keeping lower bins viable amid his consistent pop culture dominance. Resolution nears April 7, with real-time XTracker data as the swing factor.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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