Trader consensus pins The Super Mario Galaxy Movie as the 36.5% favorite for 2026's top-grossing film, narrowly ahead of Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 32%, fueled by Nintendo's sequel momentum after the 2023 Mario Bros. blockbuster's $1.36 billion global haul and family-friendly appeal in key markets like Asia. Spider-Man's edge stems from Tom Holland's star power and Sony-Marvel synergy rumors, though superhero fatigue tempers Avengers: Doomsday's 16% odds despite its May event-film positioning. Differentiators include Mario's untapped international draw versus Spider-Man's domestic strength, with crowded summer releases—Toy Story 5, Mandalorian & Grogu—adding volatility; watch for trailer drops and casting news to shift dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertFilm mit den höchsten Einspielergebnissen im Jahr 2026?
Film mit den höchsten Einspielergebnissen im Jahr 2026?
Der Super Mario Galaxy Film 37%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 32%
Avengers: Doomsday 16%
The Odyssey 4.0%
$1,478,011 Vol.
$1,478,011 Vol.
Der Super Mario Galaxy Film
37%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
32%
Avengers: Doomsday
16%
The Odyssey
4%
Toy Story 5
3%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
2%
Dune: Messiah
2%
Project Hail Mary
1%
Michael
1%
Die Tribute von Panem: Sonnenaufgang bei der Ernte
1%
Jumanji 3
1%
Wuthering Heights
<1%
Wicked: For Good
<1%
Scream 7
<1%
Der Super Mario Galaxy Film 37%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 32%
Avengers: Doomsday 16%
The Odyssey 4.0%
$1,478,011 Vol.
$1,478,011 Vol.
Der Super Mario Galaxy Film
37%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
32%
Avengers: Doomsday
16%
The Odyssey
4%
Toy Story 5
3%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
2%
Dune: Messiah
2%
Project Hail Mary
1%
Michael
1%
Die Tribute von Panem: Sonnenaufgang bei der Ernte
1%
Jumanji 3
1%
Wuthering Heights
<1%
Wicked: For Good
<1%
Scream 7
<1%
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus pins The Super Mario Galaxy Movie as the 36.5% favorite for 2026's top-grossing film, narrowly ahead of Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 32%, fueled by Nintendo's sequel momentum after the 2023 Mario Bros. blockbuster's $1.36 billion global haul and family-friendly appeal in key markets like Asia. Spider-Man's edge stems from Tom Holland's star power and Sony-Marvel synergy rumors, though superhero fatigue tempers Avengers: Doomsday's 16% odds despite its May event-film positioning. Differentiators include Mario's untapped international draw versus Spider-Man's domestic strength, with crowded summer releases—Toy Story 5, Mandalorian & Grogu—adding volatility; watch for trailer drops and casting news to shift dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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