Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "No Bond chosen" at 76.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' deliberate pace in the post-Daniel Craig era, with executives publicly urging patience amid script development under director Denis Villeneuve for a targeted 2028 release. Persistent but unverified casting rumors have elevated Callum Turner (7%) and Jacob Elordi (6.7%) as frontrunners—Turner after viral early-year buzz he downplayed at Berlin, Elordi boosted by May 6 reports of his "pole position" following meetings with studio heads—yet traders demand official announcements, skeptical of tabloid speculation amid historical delays in franchise reboots. Watch for casting updates later in 2026 as precursor signals emerge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNächster James-Bond-Schauspieler?
Nächster James-Bond-Schauspieler?
Kein Bond ausgewählt 77%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Jacob Elordi 15.0%
Callum Turner 7.0%
Gruppeneintragstitel: James Norton <1%
$2,128,941 Vol.
$2,128,941 Vol.

Kein Bond ausgewählt
77%

Gruppen-Element-Titel: Jacob Elordi
9%

Callum Turner
7%

Gruppeneintragstitel: James Norton
1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Harris Dickinson
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Theo James
<1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tom Holland
<1%

Gruppeneintrag Titel: Henry Cavill
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
Kein Bond ausgewählt 77%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Jacob Elordi 15.0%
Callum Turner 7.0%
Gruppeneintragstitel: James Norton <1%
$2,128,941 Vol.
$2,128,941 Vol.

Kein Bond ausgewählt
77%

Gruppen-Element-Titel: Jacob Elordi
9%

Callum Turner
7%

Gruppeneintragstitel: James Norton
1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Harris Dickinson
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Theo James
<1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tom Holland
<1%

Gruppeneintrag Titel: Henry Cavill
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "No Bond chosen" at 76.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' deliberate pace in the post-Daniel Craig era, with executives publicly urging patience amid script development under director Denis Villeneuve for a targeted 2028 release. Persistent but unverified casting rumors have elevated Callum Turner (7%) and Jacob Elordi (6.7%) as frontrunners—Turner after viral early-year buzz he downplayed at Berlin, Elordi boosted by May 6 reports of his "pole position" following meetings with studio heads—yet traders demand official announcements, skeptical of tabloid speculation amid historical delays in franchise reboots. Watch for casting updates later in 2026 as precursor signals emerge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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