Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday at 72.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, propelled by Marvel's event-film dominance—echoing Avengers: Endgame's $357 million domestic record—and Robert Downey Jr.'s return as Doctor Doom, alongside Chris Evans' reprise and Russo Brothers' direction. Recent industry polls from February, where rival studio heads and 700 experts pegged it as the year's top grosser, plus positive insider buzz on its unprecedented scale, have solidified this frontrunner status despite its December 18 holiday clash with Dune: Messiah. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 11% on peak summer July 31 positioning and No Way Home nostalgia, while early 2026 benchmarks like Project Hail Mary's $80 million debut and upcoming Michael biopic tracking underscore how tentpole hype drives superior openings; watch May's Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu for potential shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWelcher Film hat das größte Eröffnungswochenende im Jahr 2026?
Welcher Film hat das größte Eröffnungswochenende im Jahr 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 11%
Dune: Messiah 2.3%
Toy Story 5 2.1%
$1,048,698 Vol.
$1,048,698 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
11%
Dune: Messiah
2%
Toy Story 5
2%
Die Odyssee
2%
Michael
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
Die Tribute von Panem: Sonnenaufgang über der Ernte
<1%
Project Hail Mary
<1%
Scream 7
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 11%
Dune: Messiah 2.3%
Toy Story 5 2.1%
$1,048,698 Vol.
$1,048,698 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$90,244 Vol.
73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$26,768 Vol.
11%
Dune: Messiah
$81,306 Vol.
2%
Toy Story 5
$173,919 Vol.
2%
Die Odyssee
$0 Vol.
2%
Michael
$482,805 Vol.
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$28,146 Vol.
1%
Die Tribute von Panem: Sonnenaufgang über der Ernte
$0 Vol.
<1%
Project Hail Mary
$0 Vol.
<1%
Scream 7
$42,654 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday at 72.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, propelled by Marvel's event-film dominance—echoing Avengers: Endgame's $357 million domestic record—and Robert Downey Jr.'s return as Doctor Doom, alongside Chris Evans' reprise and Russo Brothers' direction. Recent industry polls from February, where rival studio heads and 700 experts pegged it as the year's top grosser, plus positive insider buzz on its unprecedented scale, have solidified this frontrunner status despite its December 18 holiday clash with Dune: Messiah. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 11% on peak summer July 31 positioning and No Way Home nostalgia, while early 2026 benchmarks like Project Hail Mary's $80 million debut and upcoming Michael biopic tracking underscore how tentpole hype drives superior openings; watch May's Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu for potential shifts.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
Volumen
$1,048,698Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday at 72.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, propelled by Marvel's event-film dominance—echoing Avengers: Endgame's $357 million domestic record—and Robert Downey Jr.'s return as Doctor Doom, alongside Chris Evans' reprise and Russo Brothers' direction. Recent industry polls from February, where rival studio heads and 700 experts pegged it as the year's top grosser, plus positive insider buzz on its unprecedented scale, have solidified this frontrunner status despite its December 18 holiday clash with Dune: Messiah. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 11% on peak summer July 31 positioning and No Way Home nostalgia, while early 2026 benchmarks like Project Hail Mary's $80 million debut and upcoming Michael biopic tracking underscore how tentpole hype drives superior openings; watch May's Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu for potential shifts.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$1,048,698Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday at 72.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, propelled by Marvel's event-film dominance—echoing Avengers: Endgame's $357 million domestic record—and Robert Downey Jr.'s return as Doctor Doom, alongside Chris Evans' reprise and Russo Brothers' direction. Recent industry polls from February, where rival studio heads and 700 experts pegged it as the year's top grosser, plus positive insider buzz on its unprecedented scale, have solidified this frontrunner status despite its December 18 holiday clash with Dune: Messiah. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 11% on peak summer July 31 positioning and No Way Home nostalgia, while early 2026 benchmarks like Project Hail Mary's $80 million debut and upcoming Michael biopic tracking underscore how tentpole hype drives superior openings; watch May's Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu for potential shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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