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Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?

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Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$137,770 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$137,770 Vol.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Bolivia on August 17, 2025. If necessary, a second round will be held on October 19, 2025. To win in the first round outright, one presidential candidate must secure over 50% of the valid votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead over the second-place candidate.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
Volumen
$137,770
Enddatum
Aug 17, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Jul 15, 2025, 3:54 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Bolivia on August 17, 2025. If necessary, a second round will be held on October 19, 2025. To win in the first round outright, one presidential candidate must secure over 50% of the valid votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead over the second-place candidate. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Bolivia on August 17, 2025. If necessary, a second round will be held on October 19, 2025. To win in the first round outright, one presidential candidate must secure over 50% of the valid votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead over the second-place candidate.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
Volumen
$137,770
Enddatum
Aug 17, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Jul 15, 2025, 3:54 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Bolivia on August 17, 2025. If necessary, a second round will be held on October 19, 2025. To win in the first round outright, one presidential candidate must secure over 50% of the valid votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead over the second-place candidate. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?" has generated $137.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.