Incumbent Rep. George Whitesides (D) dominates CA-27 fundraising with over $2.3 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing Republican Jason Gibbs's $140,000, fueling trader consensus for a Democratic hold at 78% implied probability ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50, finalized after federal court and Supreme Court approvals in January and February 2026, removed conservative north Los Angeles County suburbs, shifting the Cook PVI to D+6 and making it a Kamala Harris +10 district—up from +4 previously. Forecasters rate it Solid Democratic, with no polling yet but historical incumbency advantages reinforcing the lopsided odds despite GOP's 11% share.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertCA-27 Wahlsieger
CA-27 Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Demokratische Partei
78%
Republikanische Partei
11%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Demokratische Partei
$0 Vol.
78%
Republikanische Partei
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. George Whitesides (D) dominates CA-27 fundraising with over $2.3 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing Republican Jason Gibbs's $140,000, fueling trader consensus for a Democratic hold at 78% implied probability ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50, finalized after federal court and Supreme Court approvals in January and February 2026, removed conservative north Los Angeles County suburbs, shifting the Cook PVI to D+6 and making it a Kamala Harris +10 district—up from +4 previously. Forecasters rate it Solid Democratic, with no polling yet but historical incumbency advantages reinforcing the lopsided odds despite GOP's 11% share.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 4, 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. George Whitesides (D) dominates CA-27 fundraising with over $2.3 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing Republican Jason Gibbs's $140,000, fueling trader consensus for a Democratic hold at 78% implied probability ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50, finalized after federal court and Supreme Court approvals in January and February 2026, removed conservative north Los Angeles County suburbs, shifting the Cook PVI to D+6 and making it a Kamala Harris +10 district—up from +4 previously. Forecasters rate it Solid Democratic, with no polling yet but historical incumbency advantages reinforcing the lopsided odds despite GOP's 11% share.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 4, 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. George Whitesides (D) dominates CA-27 fundraising with over $2.3 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing Republican Jason Gibbs's $140,000, fueling trader consensus for a Democratic hold at 78% implied probability ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50, finalized after federal court and Supreme Court approvals in January and February 2026, removed conservative north Los Angeles County suburbs, shifting the Cook PVI to D+6 and making it a Kamala Harris +10 district—up from +4 previously. Forecasters rate it Solid Democratic, with no polling yet but historical incumbency advantages reinforcing the lopsided odds despite GOP's 11% share.
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