In Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, a competitive swing seat with a large military and veteran population, trader consensus heavily favors Democrat Elaine Luria over Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans in their November 2026 rematch. Luria secured the Democratic nomination in the August primary and benefits from recent polling averages and race ratings shifting toward lean Democratic or likely Democratic, amid broader voter focus on affordability, healthcare costs, and foreign policy differences including the ongoing Iran conflict. Kiggans, who flipped the seat in 2022, faces headwinds from national trends and district-specific emphasis on economic pressures and veterans' issues, though both candidates share backgrounds as Navy veterans and positions on certain reforms like stock trading restrictions. Early voting is underway ahead of the November 3 election.