The May 19, 2026, Republican primary in Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District produced approximately 105,361 total votes, landing squarely in the 100-110k range after a high-profile challenge to incumbent Thomas Massie. President Trump’s endorsement of challenger Ed Gallrein, combined with substantial outside spending and national attention, drove Republican participation well above prior cycles—more than double the 2024 primary total in the district and exceeding pre-election projections of just over 20% turnout. Statewide primary participation reached about 25.7%, with GOP voters in the district showing particular engagement. With results certified and no material adjustments anticipated, trader consensus has converged on this outcome, though late procedural reviews or minor vote-count revisions remain the only realistic paths to a shift.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert100-110k 99.5%
90-100k 4.7%
<80k 1.9%
80-90k <1%
$48,111 Vol.
$48,111 Vol.
<80k
2%
80-90k
1%
90-100k
5%
100-110k
100%
110-120k
<1%
120k+
<1%
100-110k 99.5%
90-100k 4.7%
<80k 1.9%
80-90k <1%
$48,111 Vol.
$48,111 Vol.
<80k
2%
80-90k
1%
90-100k
5%
100-110k
100%
110-120k
<1%
120k+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: May 18, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The May 19, 2026, Republican primary in Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District produced approximately 105,361 total votes, landing squarely in the 100-110k range after a high-profile challenge to incumbent Thomas Massie. President Trump’s endorsement of challenger Ed Gallrein, combined with substantial outside spending and national attention, drove Republican participation well above prior cycles—more than double the 2024 primary total in the district and exceeding pre-election projections of just over 20% turnout. Statewide primary participation reached about 25.7%, with GOP voters in the district showing particular engagement. With results certified and no material adjustments anticipated, trader consensus has converged on this outcome, though late procedural reviews or minor vote-count revisions remain the only realistic paths to a shift.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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