Recent polling averages position the Sweden Democrats (SD) as the clear frontrunner for second place in the September 2026 Riksdag election, with support near 19-20 percent, ahead of the Moderate Party (M) at 17-19 percent and well behind the Social Democrats (S) in first. Trader consensus at 51 percent for SD reflects this stable gap, reinforced by the March 2026 "Sweden Promise" agreement between SD and the Liberals that formalizes potential cabinet roles for SD within the Tidö bloc. The Moderate Party's 30.5 percent odds track its slightly trailing poll numbers and coalition dynamics, while smaller parties remain marginal. Security preparations for the vote and ongoing NATO-related debates have not materially altered these relative standings in the final months.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSweden Democrats (SD) 51%
Moderate Party (M) 31%
Liberals (L) 9.9%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 6.3%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
6%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
51%

Moderate Party (M)
31%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
10%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 51%
Moderate Party (M) 31%
Liberals (L) 9.9%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 6.3%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
6%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
51%

Moderate Party (M)
31%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
10%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Markt eröffnet: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages position the Sweden Democrats (SD) as the clear frontrunner for second place in the September 2026 Riksdag election, with support near 19-20 percent, ahead of the Moderate Party (M) at 17-19 percent and well behind the Social Democrats (S) in first. Trader consensus at 51 percent for SD reflects this stable gap, reinforced by the March 2026 "Sweden Promise" agreement between SD and the Liberals that formalizes potential cabinet roles for SD within the Tidö bloc. The Moderate Party's 30.5 percent odds track its slightly trailing poll numbers and coalition dynamics, while smaller parties remain marginal. Security preparations for the vote and ongoing NATO-related debates have not materially altered these relative standings in the final months.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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