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Die USA schlagen den Iran mit...?

$152,472,592 Umsatz

Feb 2, 2026

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$152,472,592
Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026
Erstellt am
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorsicht vor externen Links.

Market icon

Die USA schlagen den Iran mit...?

$152,472,592 Umsatz

1. Februar

$6,628,010 Umsatz

<1%

2. Februar

$1,656,296 Umsatz

1%

3. Februar

$558,175 Umsatz

2%

4. Februar

$317,894 Umsatz

3%

5. Februar

$451,122 Umsatz

4%

6. Februar

$2,626,868 Umsatz

7%

13. Februar

$1,928,730 Umsatz

17%

28. Februar

$5,649,408 Umsatz

32%

31. März

$4,850,982 Umsatz

44%

30. Juni

$2,722,468 Umsatz

55%

Über

Volumen
$152,472,592
Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026
Erstellt am
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Vorsicht vor externen Links.