Following the assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes, Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as his successor. He has since operated from within Iran, issuing written statements on retaining nuclear capabilities, asserting control over the Strait of Hormuz, and outlining negotiation preconditions such as sanctions relief and formal recognition of territorial claims. Despite limited public appearances amid reports of injuries sustained in the attacks, he appointed a new chief of staff in May 2026 and aligned with Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps figures on security and diplomatic matters. These internal consolidation steps, set against ongoing regional tensions and scheduled diplomatic engagements, have shaped trader views on the low likelihood of any departure by mid-2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$1,179,686 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
31. Mai
1%
30. Juni
4%
$1,179,686 Vol.
31. Mai
$130,342 Vol.
1%
30. Juni
$77,734 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes, Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as his successor. He has since operated from within Iran, issuing written statements on retaining nuclear capabilities, asserting control over the Strait of Hormuz, and outlining negotiation preconditions such as sanctions relief and formal recognition of territorial claims. Despite limited public appearances amid reports of injuries sustained in the attacks, he appointed a new chief of staff in May 2026 and aligned with Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps figures on security and diplomatic matters. These internal consolidation steps, set against ongoing regional tensions and scheduled diplomatic engagements, have shaped trader views on the low likelihood of any departure by mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Volumen
$1,179,686Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes, Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as his successor. He has since operated from within Iran, issuing written statements on retaining nuclear capabilities, asserting control over the Strait of Hormuz, and outlining negotiation preconditions such as sanctions relief and formal recognition of territorial claims. Despite limited public appearances amid reports of injuries sustained in the attacks, he appointed a new chief of staff in May 2026 and aligned with Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps figures on security and diplomatic matters. These internal consolidation steps, set against ongoing regional tensions and scheduled diplomatic engagements, have shaped trader views on the low likelihood of any departure by mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,179,686Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes, Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as his successor. He has since operated from within Iran, issuing written statements on retaining nuclear capabilities, asserting control over the Strait of Hormuz, and outlining negotiation preconditions such as sanctions relief and formal recognition of territorial claims. Despite limited public appearances amid reports of injuries sustained in the attacks, he appointed a new chief of staff in May 2026 and aligned with Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps figures on security and diplomatic matters. These internal consolidation steps, set against ongoing regional tensions and scheduled diplomatic engagements, have shaped trader views on the low likelihood of any departure by mid-2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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