Mojtaba Khamenei, named Iran's new supreme leader on March 9 following the assassination of his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February US-Israeli strikes, has made no public appearances amid escalating regional conflict, fueling unconfirmed rumors of injury or evacuation to Russia for medical treatment. Iranian officials and a Russian envoy stated on March 31 that he remains in Iran but is avoiding visibility for security reasons, with messages attributed to him issued via intermediaries. Ongoing airstrikes, diplomatic tensions, and leadership uncertainty could prompt sudden developments, while the formal succession process by the Assembly of Experts provides institutional continuity unless disrupted by further military actions or internal challenges.
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30. Apr. 2026
April 30
3%
31. Mai
3%
30. Juni
10%
$760,645 Vol.
April 30
$95,266 Vol.
3%
31. Mai
$1,282 Vol.
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30. Juni
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, named Iran's new supreme leader on March 9 following the assassination of his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February US-Israeli strikes, has made no public appearances amid escalating regional conflict, fueling unconfirmed rumors of injury or evacuation to Russia for medical treatment. Iranian officials and a Russian envoy stated on March 31 that he remains in Iran but is avoiding visibility for security reasons, with messages attributed to him issued via intermediaries. Ongoing airstrikes, diplomatic tensions, and leadership uncertainty could prompt sudden developments, while the formal succession process by the Assembly of Experts provides institutional continuity unless disrupted by further military actions or internal challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volumen
$760,645Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, named Iran's new supreme leader on March 9 following the assassination of his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February US-Israeli strikes, has made no public appearances amid escalating regional conflict, fueling unconfirmed rumors of injury or evacuation to Russia for medical treatment. Iranian officials and a Russian envoy stated on March 31 that he remains in Iran but is avoiding visibility for security reasons, with messages attributed to him issued via intermediaries. Ongoing airstrikes, diplomatic tensions, and leadership uncertainty could prompt sudden developments, while the formal succession process by the Assembly of Experts provides institutional continuity unless disrupted by further military actions or internal challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$760,645Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, named Iran's new supreme leader on March 9 following the assassination of his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February US-Israeli strikes, has made no public appearances amid escalating regional conflict, fueling unconfirmed rumors of injury or evacuation to Russia for medical treatment. Iranian officials and a Russian envoy stated on March 31 that he remains in Iran but is avoiding visibility for security reasons, with messages attributed to him issued via intermediaries. Ongoing airstrikes, diplomatic tensions, and leadership uncertainty could prompt sudden developments, while the formal succession process by the Assembly of Experts provides institutional continuity unless disrupted by further military actions or internal challenges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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