Mojtaba Khamenei was installed as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts after his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was killed in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes that also wounded Mojtaba. He has remained inside the country since taking office, issuing written directives on military posture and the Strait of Hormuz while avoiding verified public appearances. Reports from U.S. officials and Iranian sources cite ongoing recovery from severe injuries sustained in the same attack, prompting the regime to recycle older footage rather than stage new events. As the sitting head of the Islamic Republic during active hostilities, his institutional role and security arrangements center decision-making in Tehran, with no confirmed travel or exile plans reported in the past month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$1,222,050 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
31. Mai
1%
30. Juni
3%
$1,222,050 Vol.
31. Mai
$145,533 Vol.
1%
30. Juni
$104,908 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was installed as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts after his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was killed in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes that also wounded Mojtaba. He has remained inside the country since taking office, issuing written directives on military posture and the Strait of Hormuz while avoiding verified public appearances. Reports from U.S. officials and Iranian sources cite ongoing recovery from severe injuries sustained in the same attack, prompting the regime to recycle older footage rather than stage new events. As the sitting head of the Islamic Republic during active hostilities, his institutional role and security arrangements center decision-making in Tehran, with no confirmed travel or exile plans reported in the past month.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Volumen
$1,222,050Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was installed as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts after his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was killed in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes that also wounded Mojtaba. He has remained inside the country since taking office, issuing written directives on military posture and the Strait of Hormuz while avoiding verified public appearances. Reports from U.S. officials and Iranian sources cite ongoing recovery from severe injuries sustained in the same attack, prompting the regime to recycle older footage rather than stage new events. As the sitting head of the Islamic Republic during active hostilities, his institutional role and security arrangements center decision-making in Tehran, with no confirmed travel or exile plans reported in the past month.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,222,050Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was installed as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts after his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was killed in late-February U.S.-Israeli strikes that also wounded Mojtaba. He has remained inside the country since taking office, issuing written directives on military posture and the Strait of Hormuz while avoiding verified public appearances. Reports from U.S. officials and Iranian sources cite ongoing recovery from severe injuries sustained in the same attack, prompting the regime to recycle older footage rather than stage new events. As the sitting head of the Islamic Republic during active hostilities, his institutional role and security arrangements center decision-making in Tehran, with no confirmed travel or exile plans reported in the past month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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