Amid the US-Israel war with Iran that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, his son Mojtaba was swiftly appointed successor on March 8, but has made no public appearances since early strikes reportedly wounded him. Persistent rumors—fueled by lack of visual proof of life—suggest evacuation to Russia for treatment or outright flight, yet Iranian state media issued written statements from him as recently as April 2 vowing Strait of Hormuz closure and new fronts, while Russia's ambassador confirmed March 31 he remains in Iran for security reasons amid airstrikes. Traders monitor for verifiable departure amid leadership vacuum risks, potential regime negotiations, and escalation signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$770,748 Vol.
30. Apr. 2026
April 30
3%
31. Mai
5%
30. Juni
9%
$770,748 Vol.
April 30
$102,814 Vol.
3%
31. Mai
$2,841 Vol.
5%
30. Juni
$2,616 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the US-Israel war with Iran that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, his son Mojtaba was swiftly appointed successor on March 8, but has made no public appearances since early strikes reportedly wounded him. Persistent rumors—fueled by lack of visual proof of life—suggest evacuation to Russia for treatment or outright flight, yet Iranian state media issued written statements from him as recently as April 2 vowing Strait of Hormuz closure and new fronts, while Russia's ambassador confirmed March 31 he remains in Iran for security reasons amid airstrikes. Traders monitor for verifiable departure amid leadership vacuum risks, potential regime negotiations, and escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volumen
$770,748Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the US-Israel war with Iran that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, his son Mojtaba was swiftly appointed successor on March 8, but has made no public appearances since early strikes reportedly wounded him. Persistent rumors—fueled by lack of visual proof of life—suggest evacuation to Russia for treatment or outright flight, yet Iranian state media issued written statements from him as recently as April 2 vowing Strait of Hormuz closure and new fronts, while Russia's ambassador confirmed March 31 he remains in Iran for security reasons amid airstrikes. Traders monitor for verifiable departure amid leadership vacuum risks, potential regime negotiations, and escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$770,748Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the US-Israel war with Iran that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, his son Mojtaba was swiftly appointed successor on March 8, but has made no public appearances since early strikes reportedly wounded him. Persistent rumors—fueled by lack of visual proof of life—suggest evacuation to Russia for treatment or outright flight, yet Iranian state media issued written statements from him as recently as April 2 vowing Strait of Hormuz closure and new fronts, while Russia's ambassador confirmed March 31 he remains in Iran for security reasons amid airstrikes. Traders monitor for verifiable departure amid leadership vacuum risks, potential regime negotiations, and escalation signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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