US trader consensus prices over 70% odds for US forces entering Iran by April 30 amid escalating military deployments surpassing 50,000 troops in the region, including Marine Expeditionary Units and 82nd Airborne forces staged for ground operations. The ongoing war, initiated by US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, saw fresh US bunker-buster strikes on Iran's Isfahan weapons depot on March 31, following earlier casualties of three American service members. Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth deemed the next few days "decisive" as Iran rejected a US 15-point ceasefire proposal, with President Trump threatening energy infrastructure attacks absent Strait of Hormuz reopening by April 6. These catalysts underscore invasion preparations to degrade Iranian missile and nuclear capabilities, though diplomacy remains a wildcard.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertUS-Streitkräfte dringen in den Iran ein durch...?
US-Streitkräfte dringen in den Iran ein durch...?
$72,028,904 Vol.
1. März 2026
31. März
1%
30. April
55%
31. Dezember
64%
$72,028,904 Vol.
31. März
$48,850,656 Vol.
1%
30. April
$13,462,273 Vol.
55%
31. Dezember
$7,713,254 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.US trader consensus prices over 70% odds for US forces entering Iran by April 30 amid escalating military deployments surpassing 50,000 troops in the region, including Marine Expeditionary Units and 82nd Airborne forces staged for ground operations. The ongoing war, initiated by US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, saw fresh US bunker-buster strikes on Iran's Isfahan weapons depot on March 31, following earlier casualties of three American service members. Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth deemed the next few days "decisive" as Iran rejected a US 15-point ceasefire proposal, with President Trump threatening energy infrastructure attacks absent Strait of Hormuz reopening by April 6. These catalysts underscore invasion preparations to degrade Iranian missile and nuclear capabilities, though diplomacy remains a wildcard.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
Volumen
$72,028,904Markt eröffnet
Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.US trader consensus prices over 70% odds for US forces entering Iran by April 30 amid escalating military deployments surpassing 50,000 troops in the region, including Marine Expeditionary Units and 82nd Airborne forces staged for ground operations. The ongoing war, initiated by US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, saw fresh US bunker-buster strikes on Iran's Isfahan weapons depot on March 31, following earlier casualties of three American service members. Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth deemed the next few days "decisive" as Iran rejected a US 15-point ceasefire proposal, with President Trump threatening energy infrastructure attacks absent Strait of Hormuz reopening by April 6. These catalysts underscore invasion preparations to degrade Iranian missile and nuclear capabilities, though diplomacy remains a wildcard.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$72,028,904Markt eröffnet
Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
US trader consensus prices over 70% odds for US forces entering Iran by April 30 amid escalating military deployments surpassing 50,000 troops in the region, including Marine Expeditionary Units and 82nd Airborne forces staged for ground operations. The ongoing war, initiated by US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, saw fresh US bunker-buster strikes on Iran's Isfahan weapons depot on March 31, following earlier casualties of three American service members. Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth deemed the next few days "decisive" as Iran rejected a US 15-point ceasefire proposal, with President Trump threatening energy infrastructure attacks absent Strait of Hormuz reopening by April 6. These catalysts underscore invasion preparations to degrade Iranian missile and nuclear capabilities, though diplomacy remains a wildcard.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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