In Texas' redrawn 33rd Congressional District, Colin Allred's 44% first-round primary performance on March 3 outpaced incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson's 33%, propelling them to a May 26 Democratic runoff while sidelining Carlos Quintanilla (14%) and Zeeshan Hafeez (9%). Trader consensus reflects Allred's commanding 73.5% implied probability, driven by his name recognition from prior House service in neighboring TX-32 and recent U.S. Senate campaigns, contrasted with Johnson's institutional Washington support that failed to prevent the gap. A recent GBAO poll underscores this, showing Allred leading 58%-30% ahead of early voting starting May 18 in the safely Democratic district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertColin Allred 74%
Julie Johnson 25%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$49,996 Vol.
$49,996 Vol.
Colin Allred
74%
Julie Johnson
25%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 74%
Julie Johnson 25%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$49,996 Vol.
$49,996 Vol.
Colin Allred
74%
Julie Johnson
25%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Texas' redrawn 33rd Congressional District, Colin Allred's 44% first-round primary performance on March 3 outpaced incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson's 33%, propelling them to a May 26 Democratic runoff while sidelining Carlos Quintanilla (14%) and Zeeshan Hafeez (9%). Trader consensus reflects Allred's commanding 73.5% implied probability, driven by his name recognition from prior House service in neighboring TX-32 and recent U.S. Senate campaigns, contrasted with Johnson's institutional Washington support that failed to prevent the gap. A recent GBAO poll underscores this, showing Allred leading 58%-30% ahead of early voting starting May 18 in the safely Democratic district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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