Megan Degenfelder leads trader consensus at 75.7% implied probability to win the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by recent polling showing her double-digit advantage over incumbent Governor Mark Gordon among GOP primary voters, fueled by intraparty backlash against Gordon's vetoes of conservative bills on transgender sports participation, property tax cuts, and election integrity measures. As Wyoming Superintendent of Public Instruction, Degenfelder appeals to the party's hard-right wing with strong fundraising and endorsements from figures like Harriet Hageman. State Senators Eric Barlow and Brent Bien trail at 10.1% and 9.8%, bolstered by legislative records on energy and limited government, while Gordon's 4.0% reflects damaged standing with the base despite incumbency. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but the August 2026 primary looms with potential for further shifts via endorsements or scandals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertMegan Degenfelder 75.7%
Brent Bien 9.8%
Eric Barlow 8.3%
Mark Gordon 4.0%
$10,668 Vol.
$10,668 Vol.
Megan Degenfelder
76%
Brent Bien
10%
Eric Barlow
10%
Mark Gordon
4%
Chuck Gray
2%
Harriet Hageman
1%
Ogen Driskill
1%
Joseph Kibler
<1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
Tara Nethercott
<1%
Paul Ulrich
<1%
Reid Rasner
<1%
Chip Neiman
<1%
Curt Meier
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
<1%
Megan Degenfelder 75.7%
Brent Bien 9.8%
Eric Barlow 8.3%
Mark Gordon 4.0%
$10,668 Vol.
$10,668 Vol.
Megan Degenfelder
76%
Brent Bien
10%
Eric Barlow
10%
Mark Gordon
4%
Chuck Gray
2%
Harriet Hageman
1%
Ogen Driskill
1%
Joseph Kibler
<1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
Tara Nethercott
<1%
Paul Ulrich
<1%
Reid Rasner
<1%
Chip Neiman
<1%
Curt Meier
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
<1%
If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Megan Degenfelder leads trader consensus at 75.7% implied probability to win the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by recent polling showing her double-digit advantage over incumbent Governor Mark Gordon among GOP primary voters, fueled by intraparty backlash against Gordon's vetoes of conservative bills on transgender sports participation, property tax cuts, and election integrity measures. As Wyoming Superintendent of Public Instruction, Degenfelder appeals to the party's hard-right wing with strong fundraising and endorsements from figures like Harriet Hageman. State Senators Eric Barlow and Brent Bien trail at 10.1% and 9.8%, bolstered by legislative records on energy and limited government, while Gordon's 4.0% reflects damaged standing with the base despite incumbency. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but the August 2026 primary looms with potential for further shifts via endorsements or scandals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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