In the Democratic primary runoff for Texas' 33rd Congressional District set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred at 70.5% implied probability over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson at 28.5%, reflecting Allred's first-place finish with 45.5% in the March 3 primary compared to Johnson's 34%. Allred's advantages include endorsements from eliminated candidates Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez, a dominant fundraising edge—$1.8 million raised in Q1 2026 with $950,000 post-primary—and a recent GBAO poll showing him leading 58%-30%. The redrawn Dallas-area district remains safely Democratic, with Allred's statewide name recognition from his 2024 Senate bid bolstering his frontrunner status amid early voting underway.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertColin Allred 71%
Julie Johnson 29%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$54,605 Vol.
$54,605 Vol.
Colin Allred
71%
Julie Johnson
29%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 71%
Julie Johnson 29%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$54,605 Vol.
$54,605 Vol.
Colin Allred
71%
Julie Johnson
29%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the Democratic primary runoff for Texas' 33rd Congressional District set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred at 70.5% implied probability over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson at 28.5%, reflecting Allred's first-place finish with 45.5% in the March 3 primary compared to Johnson's 34%. Allred's advantages include endorsements from eliminated candidates Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez, a dominant fundraising edge—$1.8 million raised in Q1 2026 with $950,000 post-primary—and a recent GBAO poll showing him leading 58%-30%. The redrawn Dallas-area district remains safely Democratic, with Allred's statewide name recognition from his 2024 Senate bid bolstering his frontrunner status amid early voting underway.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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