In New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting her consistent polling lead—around 23-26% in recent surveys—bolstered by endorsements from every Democratic mayor in the district and strong first-quarter fundraising exceeding $500,000. Maura Sullivan trails at 31.5%, buoyed by her top fundraising totals as a Marine veteran and prior candidate, positioning her as the chief challenger in this open seat race after incumbent Chris Pappas shifted to the Senate primary. Heath Howard's 20.9% share has risen amid recent media focus on his progressive stances, including pro-Palestinian advocacy, while Carleigh Beriont lags at 7% despite selectboard experience. Upcoming candidate forums and further polls could shift dynamics in this competitive field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertStefany Shaheen 60%
Carleigh Beriont 7%
Maura Sullivan 0
Heath Howard 0
$14,034 Vol.
$14,034 Vol.
Stefany Shaheen
60%
Carleigh Beriont
7%
Maura Sullivan
33%
Heath Howard
47%
Stefany Shaheen 60%
Carleigh Beriont 7%
Maura Sullivan 0
Heath Howard 0
$14,034 Vol.
$14,034 Vol.
Stefany Shaheen
60%
Carleigh Beriont
7%
Maura Sullivan
33%
Heath Howard
47%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting her consistent polling lead—around 23-26% in recent surveys—bolstered by endorsements from every Democratic mayor in the district and strong first-quarter fundraising exceeding $500,000. Maura Sullivan trails at 31.5%, buoyed by her top fundraising totals as a Marine veteran and prior candidate, positioning her as the chief challenger in this open seat race after incumbent Chris Pappas shifted to the Senate primary. Heath Howard's 20.9% share has risen amid recent media focus on his progressive stances, including pro-Palestinian advocacy, while Carleigh Beriont lags at 7% despite selectboard experience. Upcoming candidate forums and further polls could shift dynamics in this competitive field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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