Harris by 1.5-1.9 99.8%
Trump lead <1%
Harris by 0-0.4 <1%
Harris by 0.5-0.9 <1%
$1,255,780 Vol.
$1,255,780 Vol.
Trump lead
$313,822 Vol.
No
Harris by 0-0.4
$51,150 Vol.
No
Harris by 0.5-0.9
$43,965 Vol.
No
Harris by 1-1.4
$82,695 Vol.
No
Harris by 1.5-1.9
$69,701 Vol.
Yes
Harris by 2-2.4
$75,990 Vol.
No
Harris by 2.5-2.9
$68,532 Vol.
No
Harris by 3-3.4
$63,324 Vol.
No
Harris by 3.5+
$486,601 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on October 11, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by October 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of October 11, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
Erstellt am: Sep 30, 2024, 11:26 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Harris by 1.5-1.9 99.8%
Trump lead <1%
Harris by 0-0.4 <1%
Harris by 0.5-0.9 <1%
$1,255,780 Vol.
$1,255,780 Vol.
Trump lead
No
Harris by 0-0.4
No
Harris by 0.5-0.9
No
Harris by 1-1.4
No
Harris by 1.5-1.9
Yes
Harris by 2-2.4
No
Harris by 2.5-2.9
No
Harris by 3-3.4
No
Harris by 3.5+
No
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Frequently Asked Questions