Market icon

Trump speaks on RNC Day 1?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$55,417 Vol.

The 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is a speaker on Day 1 (July 15 CDT) of the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Trump will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly speaks from the main stage of the convention. A live speech given virtually but displayed from the main stage, or displayed throughout the convention space will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually speak.
Volumen
$55,417
Enddatum
Jul 15, 2024
Erstellt am
Jul 15, 2024, 8:30 PM ET
The 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is a speaker on Day 1 (July 15 CDT) of the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Trump will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly speaks from the main stage of the convention. A live speech given virtually but displayed from the main stage, or displayed throughout the convention space will count toward a "Yes" resolution. Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually speak.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump speaks on RNC Day 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump speaks on RNC Day 1?" has generated $55.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 16, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump speaks on RNC Day 1?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump speaks on RNC Day 1?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump speaks on RNC Day 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Trump speaks on RNC Day 1?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$55,417 Vol.

The 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is a speaker on Day 1 (July 15 CDT) of the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Trump will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly speaks from the main stage of the convention. A live speech given virtually but displayed from the main stage, or displayed throughout the convention space will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually speak.
Volumen
$55,417
Enddatum
Jul 15, 2024
Erstellt am
Jul 15, 2024, 8:30 PM ET
The 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is a speaker on Day 1 (July 15 CDT) of the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Trump will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly speaks from the main stage of the convention. A live speech given virtually but displayed from the main stage, or displayed throughout the convention space will count toward a "Yes" resolution. Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually speak.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump speaks on RNC Day 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump speaks on RNC Day 1?" has generated $55.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 16, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump speaks on RNC Day 1?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump speaks on RNC Day 1?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump speaks on RNC Day 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.