Recent reports of SpaceX potentially filing its S-1 registration this week for a mid-June 2026 IPO at a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation have solidified trader consensus around the 1.5T–2.0T outcome at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting aggressive growth projections for Starlink's satellite broadband constellation—now with 9+ million subscribers and doubling every 15 months—bolstered by December 2025's $800 billion tender offer. Elon Musk's plans to allocate up to 30% of shares to retail investors signal broad access, while April investor briefings loom as key catalysts. Lower buckets like 2.0T–2.5T (24%) account for upside from Starship reusability milestones and prospective xAI synergies, amid minimal odds (1.8%) for no IPO before 2028 given cleared regulatory hurdles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$1.858T
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.9%
$360,684 Vol.
$360,684 Vol.
<1.0T
3%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
53%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
6%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3,5T+
2%
No IPO before 2028
2%
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.9%
$360,684 Vol.
$360,684 Vol.
<1.0T
$8,577 Vol.
3%
1.0T-1.5T
$5,802 Vol.
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$7,811 Vol.
53%
2.0T-2.5T
$8,198 Vol.
24%
2.5T-3.0T
$26,249 Vol.
6%
3.0T-3.5T
$286,729 Vol.
3%
3,5T+
$9,128 Vol.
2%
No IPO before 2028
$8,191 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports of SpaceX potentially filing its S-1 registration this week for a mid-June 2026 IPO at a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation have solidified trader consensus around the 1.5T–2.0T outcome at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting aggressive growth projections for Starlink's satellite broadband constellation—now with 9+ million subscribers and doubling every 15 months—bolstered by December 2025's $800 billion tender offer. Elon Musk's plans to allocate up to 30% of shares to retail investors signal broad access, while April investor briefings loom as key catalysts. Lower buckets like 2.0T–2.5T (24%) account for upside from Starship reusability milestones and prospective xAI synergies, amid minimal odds (1.8%) for no IPO before 2028 given cleared regulatory hurdles.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volumen
$360,684Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports of SpaceX potentially filing its S-1 registration this week for a mid-June 2026 IPO at a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation have solidified trader consensus around the 1.5T–2.0T outcome at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting aggressive growth projections for Starlink's satellite broadband constellation—now with 9+ million subscribers and doubling every 15 months—bolstered by December 2025's $800 billion tender offer. Elon Musk's plans to allocate up to 30% of shares to retail investors signal broad access, while April investor briefings loom as key catalysts. Lower buckets like 2.0T–2.5T (24%) account for upside from Starship reusability milestones and prospective xAI synergies, amid minimal odds (1.8%) for no IPO before 2028 given cleared regulatory hurdles.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$360,684Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports of SpaceX potentially filing its S-1 registration this week for a mid-June 2026 IPO at a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation have solidified trader consensus around the 1.5T–2.0T outcome at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting aggressive growth projections for Starlink's satellite broadband constellation—now with 9+ million subscribers and doubling every 15 months—bolstered by December 2025's $800 billion tender offer. Elon Musk's plans to allocate up to 30% of shares to retail investors signal broad access, while April investor briefings loom as key catalysts. Lower buckets like 2.0T–2.5T (24%) account for upside from Starship reusability milestones and prospective xAI synergies, amid minimal odds (1.8%) for no IPO before 2028 given cleared regulatory hurdles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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