Trump's decisive 2024 victory and subsequent cabinet nominations have propelled Robert F. Kennedy Jr., J.D. Vance, and Marco Rubio to the top of trader consensus for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, with RFK Jr. at 49%, Vance at 37%, and Rubio at 27.7% implied probabilities on Polymarket. These figures, all tapped for high-profile roles—RFK Jr. for Health and Human Services Secretary, Vance as vice president-elect, and Rubio for Secretary of State—signal strong Trump endorsement potential, boosting their visibility and party influence amid a wide-open post-Trump GOP field. Recent announcements spiked their odds, reflecting trader bets on administration insiders as frontrunners, though early markets remain fluid with years until the primaries.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJ.D. Vance 37.0%
Marco Rubio 27.7%
Tucker Carlson 3.8%
Ron DeSantis 3.1%
$445,731,374 Vol.
$445,731,374 Vol.

J.D. Vance
37%

Marco Rubio
28%

Tucker Carlson
4%

Ron DeSantis
3%

Donald Trump
2%

Thomas Massie
2%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Matt Gaetz
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Ted Cruz
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Brian Kemp
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Josh Hawley
1%

John Thune
1%

Kristi Noem
1%

Joe Kent
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Elise Stefanik
1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tom Brady
1%

Steve Bannon
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Byron Donalds
1%

Erika Kirk
1%

Mike Pence
1%
J.D. Vance 37.0%
Marco Rubio 27.7%
Tucker Carlson 3.8%
Ron DeSantis 3.1%
$445,731,374 Vol.
$445,731,374 Vol.

J.D. Vance
37%

Marco Rubio
28%

Tucker Carlson
4%

Ron DeSantis
3%

Donald Trump
2%

Thomas Massie
2%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Matt Gaetz
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Ted Cruz
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Brian Kemp
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Josh Hawley
1%

John Thune
1%

Kristi Noem
1%

Joe Kent
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Elise Stefanik
1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tom Brady
1%

Steve Bannon
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Byron Donalds
1%

Erika Kirk
1%

Mike Pence
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trump's decisive 2024 victory and subsequent cabinet nominations have propelled Robert F. Kennedy Jr., J.D. Vance, and Marco Rubio to the top of trader consensus for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, with RFK Jr. at 49%, Vance at 37%, and Rubio at 27.7% implied probabilities on Polymarket. These figures, all tapped for high-profile roles—RFK Jr. for Health and Human Services Secretary, Vance as vice president-elect, and Rubio for Secretary of State—signal strong Trump endorsement potential, boosting their visibility and party influence amid a wide-open post-Trump GOP field. Recent announcements spiked their odds, reflecting trader bets on administration insiders as frontrunners, though early markets remain fluid with years until the primaries.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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