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Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru

Market icon

Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru

Carlos Álvarez 24.4%

Rafael López Aliaga 24%

Keiko Fujimori 22%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 13.7%

Polymarket

$5,674,410 Vol.

Carlos Álvarez 24.4%

Rafael López Aliaga 24%

Keiko Fujimori 22%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 13.7%

Polymarket

$5,674,410 Vol.

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Carlos Álvarez

$208,742 Vol.

24%

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Rafael López Aliaga

$747,375 Vol.

24%

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Keiko Fujimori

$310,182 Vol.

22%

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Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$424,544 Vol.

14%

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Ricardo Belmont

$291,622 Vol.

5%

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Jorge Nieto

$776,570 Vol.

4%

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Alfonso López Chau

$317,458 Vol.

4%

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Carlos Espá

$172,887 Vol.

1%

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Yonhy Lescano

$215,210 Vol.

1%

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Marisol Pérez Tello

$251,736 Vol.

1%

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Mesías Guevara

$152,881 Vol.

<1%

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César Acuña

$129,471 Vol.

<1%

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George Forsyth

$150,619 Vol.

<1%

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Wolfgang Grozo

$400,046 Vol.

<1%

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Fernando Olivera

$122,325 Vol.

<1%

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Mario Vizcarra

$148,673 Vol.

<1%

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Vladimir Cerrón

$149,922 Vol.

<1%

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Roberto Chiabra

$84,049 Vol.

<1%

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Enrique Valderrama

$174,670 Vol.

<1%

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José Luna

$115,813 Vol.

<1%

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José Williams

$78,820 Vol.

<1%

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Fiorella Molinelli

$112,859 Vol.

<1%

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Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$137,989 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) With Peru's first-round presidential election set for April 12 in a two-round system requiring over 50% for outright victory or top-two advancement to a June runoff, trader consensus prices Carlos Álvarez, Rafael López Aliaga, and Keiko Fujimori in a virtual deadlock around 24%, capturing the race's extreme fragmentation among 35 candidates. Recent late-March polls from Ipsos, Datum, and CPI confirm this tightness, with the right-wing duo of López Aliaga and Fujimori trading 10-17% leads amid 20-30% undecided or blank intentions driven by voter fatigue over corruption, crime, and instability. Comedian Álvarez's post-debate viral imitations have fueled his outsider momentum, while regional turnout, final endorsements, or scandals could consolidate support and determine runoff qualifiers.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$5,674,410
Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) With Peru's first-round presidential election set for April 12 in a two-round system requiring over 50% for outright victory or top-two advancement to a June runoff, trader consensus prices Carlos Álvarez, Rafael López Aliaga, and Keiko Fujimori in a virtual deadlock around 24%, capturing the race's extreme fragmentation among 35 candidates. Recent late-March polls from Ipsos, Datum, and CPI confirm this tightness, with the right-wing duo of López Aliaga and Fujimori trading 10-17% leads amid 20-30% undecided or blank intentions driven by voter fatigue over corruption, crime, and instability. Comedian Álvarez's post-debate viral imitations have fueled his outsider momentum, while regional turnout, final endorsements, or scandals could consolidate support and determine runoff qualifiers.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$5,674,410
Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 23 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Carlos Álvarez" mit 24%, gefolgt von „Rafael López Aliaga" mit 24%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 24¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 24% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $5.7 million generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 23 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" ist „Carlos Álvarez" mit 24%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 24% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Rafael López Aliaga" mit 24%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.