With Peru's first-round presidential election set for April 12 in a two-round system requiring over 50% for outright victory or top-two advancement to a June runoff, trader consensus prices Carlos Álvarez, Rafael López Aliaga, and Keiko Fujimori in a virtual deadlock around 24%, capturing the race's extreme fragmentation among 35 candidates. Recent late-March polls from Ipsos, Datum, and CPI confirm this tightness, with the right-wing duo of López Aliaga and Fujimori trading 10-17% leads amid 20-30% undecided or blank intentions driven by voter fatigue over corruption, crime, and instability. Comedian Álvarez's post-debate viral imitations have fueled his outsider momentum, while regional turnout, final endorsements, or scandals could consolidate support and determine runoff qualifiers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertGewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru
Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru
Carlos Álvarez 24.4%
Rafael López Aliaga 24%
Keiko Fujimori 22%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 13.7%
$5,674,410 Vol.
$5,674,410 Vol.

Carlos Álvarez
24%

Rafael López Aliaga
24%

Keiko Fujimori
22%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
14%

Ricardo Belmont
5%

Jorge Nieto
4%

Alfonso López Chau
4%

Carlos Espá
1%

Yonhy Lescano
1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Carlos Álvarez 24.4%
Rafael López Aliaga 24%
Keiko Fujimori 22%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 13.7%
$5,674,410 Vol.
$5,674,410 Vol.

Carlos Álvarez
24%

Rafael López Aliaga
24%

Keiko Fujimori
22%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
14%

Ricardo Belmont
5%

Jorge Nieto
4%

Alfonso López Chau
4%

Carlos Espá
1%

Yonhy Lescano
1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Peru's first-round presidential election set for April 12 in a two-round system requiring over 50% for outright victory or top-two advancement to a June runoff, trader consensus prices Carlos Álvarez, Rafael López Aliaga, and Keiko Fujimori in a virtual deadlock around 24%, capturing the race's extreme fragmentation among 35 candidates. Recent late-March polls from Ipsos, Datum, and CPI confirm this tightness, with the right-wing duo of López Aliaga and Fujimori trading 10-17% leads amid 20-30% undecided or blank intentions driven by voter fatigue over corruption, crime, and instability. Comedian Álvarez's post-debate viral imitations have fueled his outsider momentum, while regional turnout, final endorsements, or scandals could consolidate support and determine runoff qualifiers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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