New York’s 5th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in presidential and congressional voting patterns across Queens and parts of Nassau County. Incumbent Gregory Meeks faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic for the November 2026 general election. This positioning underpins the 93.5% trader consensus on a Democratic victory, consistent with the district’s historical margins and lack of competitive Republican challengers. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary upset, a national political realignment, or late developments altering turnout among key voting blocs, though such factors remain outside current evidence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-05 Wahlsieger
NY-05 Wahlsieger
$22,223 Vol.
$22,223 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$22,223 Vol.
$22,223 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$14,739 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$7,484 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 5th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in presidential and congressional voting patterns across Queens and parts of Nassau County. Incumbent Gregory Meeks faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic for the November 2026 general election. This positioning underpins the 93.5% trader consensus on a Democratic victory, consistent with the district’s historical margins and lack of competitive Republican challengers. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary upset, a national political realignment, or late developments altering turnout among key voting blocs, though such factors remain outside current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$22,223Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 5th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in presidential and congressional voting patterns across Queens and parts of Nassau County. Incumbent Gregory Meeks faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic for the November 2026 general election. This positioning underpins the 93.5% trader consensus on a Democratic victory, consistent with the district’s historical margins and lack of competitive Republican challengers. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary upset, a national political realignment, or late developments altering turnout among key voting blocs, though such factors remain outside current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$22,223Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 5th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in presidential and congressional voting patterns across Queens and parts of Nassau County. Incumbent Gregory Meeks faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic for the November 2026 general election. This positioning underpins the 93.5% trader consensus on a Democratic victory, consistent with the district’s historical margins and lack of competitive Republican challengers. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary upset, a national political realignment, or late developments altering turnout among key voting blocs, though such factors remain outside current evidence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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