Incumbent Rep. Jason Smith (R), powerful Ways and Means Committee chair, anchors trader consensus pricing a Republican win at 93.5% in Missouri's safely Republican 8th Congressional District, bolstered by its deep-red partisan lean and history of lopsided GOP victories. A state court ruling within the past day upheld new Trump-backed congressional maps, resolving prior uncertainty and confirming GOP-favorable boundaries ahead of the August 4 primaries. Democrats have fielded lesser-known challengers like Clayton Harbison and Frank Barnitz, with no competitive polling. Realistic shifts would require Smith's retirement, a primary upset, major scandal, or a national anti-incumbent wave tilting midterm battlegrounds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertMO-08 Wahlsieger
MO-08 Wahlsieger
$21,867 Vol.
$21,867 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
94%
Demokratische Partei
6%
$21,867 Vol.
$21,867 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
$11,748 Vol.
94%
Demokratische Partei
$10,119 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jason Smith (R), powerful Ways and Means Committee chair, anchors trader consensus pricing a Republican win at 93.5% in Missouri's safely Republican 8th Congressional District, bolstered by its deep-red partisan lean and history of lopsided GOP victories. A state court ruling within the past day upheld new Trump-backed congressional maps, resolving prior uncertainty and confirming GOP-favorable boundaries ahead of the August 4 primaries. Democrats have fielded lesser-known challengers like Clayton Harbison and Frank Barnitz, with no competitive polling. Realistic shifts would require Smith's retirement, a primary upset, major scandal, or a national anti-incumbent wave tilting midterm battlegrounds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$21,867Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jason Smith (R), powerful Ways and Means Committee chair, anchors trader consensus pricing a Republican win at 93.5% in Missouri's safely Republican 8th Congressional District, bolstered by its deep-red partisan lean and history of lopsided GOP victories. A state court ruling within the past day upheld new Trump-backed congressional maps, resolving prior uncertainty and confirming GOP-favorable boundaries ahead of the August 4 primaries. Democrats have fielded lesser-known challengers like Clayton Harbison and Frank Barnitz, with no competitive polling. Realistic shifts would require Smith's retirement, a primary upset, major scandal, or a national anti-incumbent wave tilting midterm battlegrounds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$21,867Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jason Smith (R), powerful Ways and Means Committee chair, anchors trader consensus pricing a Republican win at 93.5% in Missouri's safely Republican 8th Congressional District, bolstered by its deep-red partisan lean and history of lopsided GOP victories. A state court ruling within the past day upheld new Trump-backed congressional maps, resolving prior uncertainty and confirming GOP-favorable boundaries ahead of the August 4 primaries. Democrats have fielded lesser-known challengers like Clayton Harbison and Frank Barnitz, with no competitive polling. Realistic shifts would require Smith's retirement, a primary upset, major scandal, or a national anti-incumbent wave tilting midterm battlegrounds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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