Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree’s long tenure and the district’s D+11 partisan lean anchor the 92.5% Democratic consensus in the ME-01 House race. Pingree has secured the seat in nine consecutive elections, most recently with 58.1% in 2024, while Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including Joshua Pietrowicz and Ronald Russell, remain fragmented ahead of the June 9 vote, limiting any early consolidation. Traders assign the Republican nominee just 5.5% because the district’s Portland-area base and structural incumbency advantages have historically produced comfortable Democratic margins. Late developments such as an unexpected health issue for Pingree or a surprise primary upset could still shift probabilities before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertME-01 Wahlsieger
ME-01 Wahlsieger
$31,456 Vol.
$31,456 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
93%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$31,456 Vol.
$31,456 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$23,012 Vol.
93%
Republikanische Partei
$8,444 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree’s long tenure and the district’s D+11 partisan lean anchor the 92.5% Democratic consensus in the ME-01 House race. Pingree has secured the seat in nine consecutive elections, most recently with 58.1% in 2024, while Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including Joshua Pietrowicz and Ronald Russell, remain fragmented ahead of the June 9 vote, limiting any early consolidation. Traders assign the Republican nominee just 5.5% because the district’s Portland-area base and structural incumbency advantages have historically produced comfortable Democratic margins. Late developments such as an unexpected health issue for Pingree or a surprise primary upset could still shift probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$31,456Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree’s long tenure and the district’s D+11 partisan lean anchor the 92.5% Democratic consensus in the ME-01 House race. Pingree has secured the seat in nine consecutive elections, most recently with 58.1% in 2024, while Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including Joshua Pietrowicz and Ronald Russell, remain fragmented ahead of the June 9 vote, limiting any early consolidation. Traders assign the Republican nominee just 5.5% because the district’s Portland-area base and structural incumbency advantages have historically produced comfortable Democratic margins. Late developments such as an unexpected health issue for Pingree or a surprise primary upset could still shift probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$31,456Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree’s long tenure and the district’s D+11 partisan lean anchor the 92.5% Democratic consensus in the ME-01 House race. Pingree has secured the seat in nine consecutive elections, most recently with 58.1% in 2024, while Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including Joshua Pietrowicz and Ronald Russell, remain fragmented ahead of the June 9 vote, limiting any early consolidation. Traders assign the Republican nominee just 5.5% because the district’s Portland-area base and structural incumbency advantages have historically produced comfortable Democratic margins. Late developments such as an unexpected health issue for Pingree or a surprise primary upset could still shift probabilities before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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