Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree’s nine consecutive victories, including 58 percent in 2024, combined with Maine’s 1st District’s consistent Democratic lean around Portland, underpin the current 92.5 percent trader consensus for a Democratic hold. The June 9 primary features only token Republican challengers and an unopposed Democratic nomination, leaving no immediate catalyst to shift probabilities. Historical patterns in safely Democratic House seats show limited turnover absent major scandals or national realignments. Factors that could still alter the outcome before November include a late primary upset, unexpected health developments for the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican nominee gaining traction in the general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertME-01 Wahlsieger
ME-01 Wahlsieger
$31,456 Vol.
$31,456 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
93%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$31,456 Vol.
$31,456 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$23,012 Vol.
93%
Republikanische Partei
$8,444 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree’s nine consecutive victories, including 58 percent in 2024, combined with Maine’s 1st District’s consistent Democratic lean around Portland, underpin the current 92.5 percent trader consensus for a Democratic hold. The June 9 primary features only token Republican challengers and an unopposed Democratic nomination, leaving no immediate catalyst to shift probabilities. Historical patterns in safely Democratic House seats show limited turnover absent major scandals or national realignments. Factors that could still alter the outcome before November include a late primary upset, unexpected health developments for the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican nominee gaining traction in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$31,456Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree’s nine consecutive victories, including 58 percent in 2024, combined with Maine’s 1st District’s consistent Democratic lean around Portland, underpin the current 92.5 percent trader consensus for a Democratic hold. The June 9 primary features only token Republican challengers and an unopposed Democratic nomination, leaving no immediate catalyst to shift probabilities. Historical patterns in safely Democratic House seats show limited turnover absent major scandals or national realignments. Factors that could still alter the outcome before November include a late primary upset, unexpected health developments for the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican nominee gaining traction in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$31,456Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree’s nine consecutive victories, including 58 percent in 2024, combined with Maine’s 1st District’s consistent Democratic lean around Portland, underpin the current 92.5 percent trader consensus for a Democratic hold. The June 9 primary features only token Republican challengers and an unopposed Democratic nomination, leaving no immediate catalyst to shift probabilities. Historical patterns in safely Democratic House seats show limited turnover absent major scandals or national realignments. Factors that could still alter the outcome before November include a late primary upset, unexpected health developments for the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican nominee gaining traction in the general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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